Albenis Pérez-Alarcón , Marta Vázquez , Ricardo M. Trigo , Raquel Nieto , Luis Gimeno
{"title":"通过研究案例了解热带气旋降水水汽源拉格朗日分析的不确定性","authors":"Albenis Pérez-Alarcón , Marta Vázquez , Ricardo M. Trigo , Raquel Nieto , Luis Gimeno","doi":"10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107822","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite the increasing number of atmospheric moisture tracking tools, their validation is challenging due to the lack of observations. This work contributes to a better understanding of uncertainties in the moisture sources analysis for the precipitation of tropical cyclones (TCs) by assessing eight combinations of threshold values in tracking methods based on the Lagrangian water budget equation. We selected as a study case Hurricane Ida that formed in the North Atlantic basin in late August 2021 and extracted the air parcel trajectories from the global outputs of the Lagrangian FLEXPART model. Results indicate that the choice of relative humidity (RH) threshold for filtering precipitating parcels has a noticeable impact on the Lagrangian precipitation estimates. In addition, methods applying the atmospheric boundary layer restriction produce a weaker moisture source pattern than those accounting for moisture uptakes in the whole atmospheric column. In particular, methods imposing an RH restriction along the air parcel trajectories to filter out noise in moisture losses outperform the others, providing more reliable moisture source contributions. We also introduced a simple bias correction approach that further improves the reliability of moisture source representation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":8600,"journal":{"name":"Atmospheric Research","volume":"314 ","pages":"Article 107822"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-11-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Towards an understanding of uncertainties in the Lagrangian analysis of moisture sources for tropical cyclone precipitation through a study case\",\"authors\":\"Albenis Pérez-Alarcón , Marta Vázquez , Ricardo M. Trigo , Raquel Nieto , Luis Gimeno\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107822\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Despite the increasing number of atmospheric moisture tracking tools, their validation is challenging due to the lack of observations. This work contributes to a better understanding of uncertainties in the moisture sources analysis for the precipitation of tropical cyclones (TCs) by assessing eight combinations of threshold values in tracking methods based on the Lagrangian water budget equation. We selected as a study case Hurricane Ida that formed in the North Atlantic basin in late August 2021 and extracted the air parcel trajectories from the global outputs of the Lagrangian FLEXPART model. Results indicate that the choice of relative humidity (RH) threshold for filtering precipitating parcels has a noticeable impact on the Lagrangian precipitation estimates. In addition, methods applying the atmospheric boundary layer restriction produce a weaker moisture source pattern than those accounting for moisture uptakes in the whole atmospheric column. In particular, methods imposing an RH restriction along the air parcel trajectories to filter out noise in moisture losses outperform the others, providing more reliable moisture source contributions. We also introduced a simple bias correction approach that further improves the reliability of moisture source representation.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":8600,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Atmospheric Research\",\"volume\":\"314 \",\"pages\":\"Article 107822\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-11-23\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Atmospheric Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169809524006045\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Atmospheric Research","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169809524006045","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Towards an understanding of uncertainties in the Lagrangian analysis of moisture sources for tropical cyclone precipitation through a study case
Despite the increasing number of atmospheric moisture tracking tools, their validation is challenging due to the lack of observations. This work contributes to a better understanding of uncertainties in the moisture sources analysis for the precipitation of tropical cyclones (TCs) by assessing eight combinations of threshold values in tracking methods based on the Lagrangian water budget equation. We selected as a study case Hurricane Ida that formed in the North Atlantic basin in late August 2021 and extracted the air parcel trajectories from the global outputs of the Lagrangian FLEXPART model. Results indicate that the choice of relative humidity (RH) threshold for filtering precipitating parcels has a noticeable impact on the Lagrangian precipitation estimates. In addition, methods applying the atmospheric boundary layer restriction produce a weaker moisture source pattern than those accounting for moisture uptakes in the whole atmospheric column. In particular, methods imposing an RH restriction along the air parcel trajectories to filter out noise in moisture losses outperform the others, providing more reliable moisture source contributions. We also introduced a simple bias correction approach that further improves the reliability of moisture source representation.
期刊介绍:
The journal publishes scientific papers (research papers, review articles, letters and notes) dealing with the part of the atmosphere where meteorological events occur. Attention is given to all processes extending from the earth surface to the tropopause, but special emphasis continues to be devoted to the physics of clouds, mesoscale meteorology and air pollution, i.e. atmospheric aerosols; microphysical processes; cloud dynamics and thermodynamics; numerical simulation, climatology, climate change and weather modification.