居住地、职业和汽车拥有量变化之间的相互依存关系--一种生命历程方法

IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION
Xuemei Fu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

鉴于人类行为决策随时间变化的动态性质,本研究采用生命历程方法来了解不同生活领域(包括居住地、职业和汽车所有权)中关键事件之间的相互依存关系。基于二叉对数和决策树的组合,在准纵向数据集上确认了所有三个领域的相互交织关系。各领域间变化的交互作用被证明是复杂的,可以观察到前导效应、滞后效应和并发效应。住宅搬迁和购车行为很可能是在同一时期进行的,反映了并发效应,而住宅和职业以及职业和汽车拥有量的重大变化之间存在时间顺序。通过研究过去经验和未来预期所起的作用,对域内连续性的调查主要反映了对当前行为的抑制作用,表明人们倾向于稳定。从经验上讲,对这些相互依存关系的识别有助于更好地理解人们对个人和家庭生活变化的反应。这些研究结果有望对旨在整合城市土地使用规划和旅行行为改变的政策产生重要价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Interdependencies among changes in residence, occupation, and car ownership − A life course approach
Given the dynamic nature of human behavioral decisions over time, a life course approach is adopted to understand the interdependencies among key events in different life domains including residence, occupation, and car ownership. Based on a combination of binomial logit and decision tree, intertwined relationships for all three domains have been confirmed with respect to a quasi-longitudinal dataset. The interactions among inter-domain changes are demonstrated to be complicated, with leading, lagged, and concurrent effects all observed. Residential relocation and car-purchasing behaviors are likely to be performed within the same period, reflecting a concurrent effect, while there is a temporal sequence between major changes in residence and occupation, as well as in occupation and car ownership. The intra-domain continuity investigation by examining the roles played by past experience and future expectation primarily reflects an inhibiting effect on current behavior, indicating people’s inclination for stability. Empirically, identification about these interdependencies enables a better understanding of people’s reactions to changes in personal and family life. The findings are expected to be valuable for policies aiming at integrated urban land-use planning and travel behavior change.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.80
自引率
7.70%
发文量
109
期刊介绍: Travel Behaviour and Society is an interdisciplinary journal publishing high-quality original papers which report leading edge research in theories, methodologies and applications concerning transportation issues and challenges which involve the social and spatial dimensions. In particular, it provides a discussion forum for major research in travel behaviour, transportation infrastructure, transportation and environmental issues, mobility and social sustainability, transportation geographic information systems (TGIS), transportation and quality of life, transportation data collection and analysis, etc.
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