对一般适应能力的需求--用复杂适应系统理论讨论复原力。

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-11-10 DOI:10.1111/risa.17676
Benjamin Scharte
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引用次数: 0

摘要

复原力的概念与复杂性和适应能力有着内在联系。来自不同领域的学者对此达成了共识。不过,复原力、复杂性和适应能力之间的具体关系还需要更深入的理论分析。本文借助复杂适应系统(CAS)理论的假设对复原力进行分析,以更详细地回答两个问题:复原力与复杂性之间的关系是什么?适应能力如何促进复原力?通过将复杂适应系统理论的基本思想应用于复原力的论述,文章推断出系统的复杂性是复原力的必要条件,因为复杂系统由拥有适应能力的主体组成,而简单系统仅由无法适应意外干扰的要素组成。复杂性与复原力之间的关系是多方面的。复杂性的增加导致对复原力的需求增加,因为发生严重的意外破坏的可能性增加。对适应能力的分析表明,系统及其组成要素可以拥有专门适应能力和一般适应能力。一般适应能力是复原力的核心特征,因为它能使系统应对意想不到的破坏。系统设计原则,如功能组内的多样性和冗余,有助于提高一般适应能力。在社区层面的社会资本和个人层面的备灾措施也是如此,因为它们能提高应对能力,而不受具体危害的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The need for general adaptive capacity-Discussing resilience with complex adaptive systems theory.

The concept of resilience intrinsically links with both complexity and adaptive capacity. Scholars from different fields agree on this. Still, the detailed relations between resilience, complexity, and adaptive capacity need a more thorough theoretical analysis. This article analyses resilience with the help of assumptions from complex adaptive systems (CAS) theory to answer two questions in more detail: What is the relation between resilience and complexity? How can adaptive capacity contribute to resilience? By applying basic ideas from CAS theory to the resilience discourse, the article deduces that complexity of a system is a necessary condition for resilience because complex systems consist of agents that possess adaptive capacity, whereas simple systems consist of mere elements that cannot adapt to unexpected disruptions. The relation between complexity and resilience is multidimensional. Growing complexity leads to a growing need for resilience because the chances for severe, unexpected disruptions increase. The analysis of adaptive capacities revealed that systems and the agents they consist of can possess of specialized and general adaptive capacity. General adaptive capacity is the core feature of resilience because it enables systems to cope with unexpected disruptions. System design principles such as diversity within functional groups and redundancy help to increase general adaptive capacity. The same is true on the community level for social capital and on the individual level for disaster preparedness measures because they increase coping capacities independent of specific hazards.

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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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