Triglyceride-glucose index predicts postoperative overall survival in hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective cohort study.

Background: Insulin resistance is important in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) carcinogenesis and progression. The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-c) ratio or TyG-body mass index (TyG-BMI) are three non-invasive parameters for insulin resistance. However, their prognostic role in HCC patients undergoing hepatectomy remains unclear.

Materials and methods: HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy at the Meizhou People's Hospital from May 2011 to February 2023 were retrospectively explored. Patients were classified into high and low groups based on different TyG, TG/HDL-c, and TyG-BMI indices. The prognostic role of TyG, TG/HDL-c, and TyG-BMI was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression models. A nomogram incorporating significant prognostic factors was constructed and validated.

Results: A lower TyG, lower TG/HDL-c, and lower TyG-BMI were linked to worse overall survival (OS) in HCC patients. Multivariate analysis indicated the TyG index, but not the TG/HDL-c and TyG-BMI index, could independently predict HCC OS. The nomogram incorporating the TNM stage and TyG index demonstrated good calibration, discriminative ability, and clinical benefit for predicting OS in HCC patients.

Conclusions: The TyG index could independently predict HCC OS after hepatectomy in this cohort. The nomogram incorporating the TyG index may aid in the prognosis management of HCC.