使用 AOC-ResNet50 网络预测发电和维护情况

IF 2.6 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS
Yueqiang Chu, Wanpeng Cao, Cheng Xiao, Yubin Song
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着光伏产业的不断扩大,太阳能光伏发电系统的应用也越来越广泛。由于光伏发电具有明显的间歇性和波动性,将大规模光伏发电并入电网会对电网的安全性和稳定性造成一定影响。光伏发电功率预测可以提高光伏并网质量、优化电网调度、保障电网安全运行,对解决这一问题至关重要。本文选择深度学习方法进行光伏功率预测。在分析 OctConv(八度卷积)网络结构的基础上,提出了 AOctConv(注意八度卷积)卷积神经网络结构,并将其与 ResNet50 骨干网络相结合,得到 AOC-ResNet50。然后将其应用于光伏发电量的预测。比较了 ResNet50 网络和 Oct-ResNet50 网络的预测性能,发现 AOC-ResNet50 网络的预测性能最好,MAE 仅为 0.176888。在示范工作的基础上,提出了一个框架来说明这种方法。并讨论了其一般应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Prediction of power generation and maintenance using AOC-ResNet50 network

Prediction of power generation and maintenance using AOC-ResNet50 network

With the continuous expansion of the photovoltaic industry, the application of solar photovoltaic power generation systems is becoming increasingly widespread. Due to the obvious intermittency and volatility of photovoltaic power generation, integration of large-scale photovoltaic power generation into the power grid can cause certain impacts on the security and stability of the grid. Photovoltaic power prediction is essential to solve this problem, as it can improve the quality of photovoltaic grid connection, optimize grid scheduling, and ensure the safe operation of the grid. In this article, the deep learning method is selected for photovoltaic power prediction. Based on the analysis of the OctConv (Octave Convolution) network structure, the AOctConv (Attention Octave Convolution) convolutional neural network structure is proposed, which is combined with the ResNet50 backbone network to obtain AOC-ResNet50. It is then applied to the prediction of the generation of photovoltaic power. The prediction performance is compared with the ResNet50 network and the Oct-ResNet50 network, and it is found that the AOC-ResNet50 network has the best prediction performance, with an MAE of only 0.176888. Based on the exemplar work, a framework is proposed to illustrate this method. Its general application is discussed.

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来源期刊
IET Renewable Power Generation
IET Renewable Power Generation 工程技术-工程:电子与电气
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
11.50%
发文量
268
审稿时长
6.6 months
期刊介绍: IET Renewable Power Generation (RPG) brings together the topics of renewable energy technology, power generation and systems integration, with techno-economic issues. All renewable energy generation technologies are within the scope of the journal. Specific technology areas covered by the journal include: Wind power technology and systems Photovoltaics Solar thermal power generation Geothermal energy Fuel cells Wave power Marine current energy Biomass conversion and power generation What differentiates RPG from technology specific journals is a concern with power generation and how the characteristics of the different renewable sources affect electrical power conversion, including power electronic design, integration in to power systems, and techno-economic issues. Other technologies that have a direct role in sustainable power generation such as fuel cells and energy storage are also covered, as are system control approaches such as demand side management, which facilitate the integration of renewable sources into power systems, both large and small. The journal provides a forum for the presentation of new research, development and applications of renewable power generation. Demonstrations and experimentally based research are particularly valued, and modelling studies should as far as possible be validated so as to give confidence that the models are representative of real-world behavior. Research that explores issues where the characteristics of the renewable energy source and their control impact on the power conversion is welcome. Papers covering the wider areas of power system control and operation, including scheduling and protection that are central to the challenge of renewable power integration are particularly encouraged. The journal is technology focused covering design, demonstration, modelling and analysis, but papers covering techno-economic issues are also of interest. Papers presenting new modelling and theory are welcome but this must be relevant to real power systems and power generation. Most papers are expected to include significant novelty of approach or application that has general applicability, and where appropriate include experimental results. Critical reviews of relevant topics are also invited and these would be expected to be comprehensive and fully referenced. Current Special Issue. Call for papers: Power Quality and Protection in Renewable Energy Systems and Microgrids - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_RPG_CFP_PQPRESM.pdf Energy and Rail/Road Transportation Integrated Development - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_RPG_CFP_ERTID.pdf
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