Nhan Trung Phan, Dung My Thi Vo, Tien Manh Huynh, Phat Tan Ho, Nguyen Phuoc Ma, Thong Duy Vo
{"title":"评估新型 ERAP 评分在越南急性胰腺炎患者中的预后表现。","authors":"Nhan Trung Phan, Dung My Thi Vo, Tien Manh Huynh, Phat Tan Ho, Nguyen Phuoc Ma, Thong Duy Vo","doi":"10.1097/MD.0000000000039738","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Early recognition of severe acute pancreatitis (AP) is crucial for timely intervention. This study aims to evaluate the prognostic accuracy of the Emergency Room Assessment of AP (ERAP) score and compare it with the Bedside Index for Severity in AP (BISAP) score in predicting severe AP, mortality, and persistent multiple organ failure (MOF) in Vietnamese patients. This prospective cohort study included AP patients admitted to Cho Ray Hospital between August 2021 and May 2022. Patient data, including demographics, clinical presentations, and laboratory results, were collected upon admission. The ERAP and BISAP scores were calculated from these admission data. The prognostic accuracy for severe AP, mortality, and persistent MOF was assessed via the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC). Among 167 AP patients (mean age 41.5 ± 12.0 years), hypertriglyceridemia (34.7%) and alcohol (22.2%) were the most prevalent etiologies. Severe AP accounted for 33.5% of the patients. Mortality rates were higher in persistent MOF patients (42.9%) than in persistent single-organ failure patients (3.6%), with a P value <.001. The ERAP score had AUCs for predicting severe AP, mortality, and persistent MOF of 0.899, 0.817, and 0.867, respectively, with an optimal cutoff of ≥2. The ERAP score had a better prognostic value than the BISAP score in predicting severe AP (AUC: 0.899 vs 0.820; P = .0072) and persistent MOF (AUC: 0.867 vs 0.785; P = .0193) but had a similar prognostic value for mortality (AUC: 0.817 vs 0.728; P = .0628). The ERAP score has strong predictive value for severe AP and persistent MOF, surpassing the BISAP score in these categories while maintaining similar accuracy for mortality prediction in the Vietnamese population. The ERAP score can be a valuable tool for the early identification of high-risk AP patients, enabling timely and appropriate clinical interventions.</p>","PeriodicalId":18549,"journal":{"name":"Medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Evaluating the prognostic performance of the novel ERAP score in Vietnamese acute pancreatitis patients.\",\"authors\":\"Nhan Trung Phan, Dung My Thi Vo, Tien Manh Huynh, Phat Tan Ho, Nguyen Phuoc Ma, Thong Duy Vo\",\"doi\":\"10.1097/MD.0000000000039738\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>Early recognition of severe acute pancreatitis (AP) is crucial for timely intervention. This study aims to evaluate the prognostic accuracy of the Emergency Room Assessment of AP (ERAP) score and compare it with the Bedside Index for Severity in AP (BISAP) score in predicting severe AP, mortality, and persistent multiple organ failure (MOF) in Vietnamese patients. This prospective cohort study included AP patients admitted to Cho Ray Hospital between August 2021 and May 2022. Patient data, including demographics, clinical presentations, and laboratory results, were collected upon admission. The ERAP and BISAP scores were calculated from these admission data. The prognostic accuracy for severe AP, mortality, and persistent MOF was assessed via the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC). Among 167 AP patients (mean age 41.5 ± 12.0 years), hypertriglyceridemia (34.7%) and alcohol (22.2%) were the most prevalent etiologies. Severe AP accounted for 33.5% of the patients. Mortality rates were higher in persistent MOF patients (42.9%) than in persistent single-organ failure patients (3.6%), with a P value <.001. The ERAP score had AUCs for predicting severe AP, mortality, and persistent MOF of 0.899, 0.817, and 0.867, respectively, with an optimal cutoff of ≥2. The ERAP score had a better prognostic value than the BISAP score in predicting severe AP (AUC: 0.899 vs 0.820; P = .0072) and persistent MOF (AUC: 0.867 vs 0.785; P = .0193) but had a similar prognostic value for mortality (AUC: 0.817 vs 0.728; P = .0628). The ERAP score has strong predictive value for severe AP and persistent MOF, surpassing the BISAP score in these categories while maintaining similar accuracy for mortality prediction in the Vietnamese population. The ERAP score can be a valuable tool for the early identification of high-risk AP patients, enabling timely and appropriate clinical interventions.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":18549,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Medicine\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-20\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Medicine\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1097/MD.0000000000039738\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Medicine","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1097/MD.0000000000039738","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
早期识别重症急性胰腺炎(AP)对于及时干预至关重要。本研究旨在评估急诊室胰腺炎评估(ERAP)评分的预后准确性,并将其与床边胰腺炎严重程度指数(BISAP)评分进行比较,以预测越南患者的重症胰腺炎、死亡率和持续性多器官功能衰竭(MOF)。这项前瞻性队列研究纳入了 2021 年 8 月至 2022 年 5 月期间入住赵雷医院的 AP 患者。入院时收集了患者数据,包括人口统计学、临床表现和实验室结果。根据这些入院数据计算出ERAP和BISAP评分。严重 AP、死亡率和持续 MOF 的预后准确性通过接收者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)进行评估。在 167 名 AP 患者(平均年龄为 41.5 ± 12.0 岁)中,高甘油三酯血症(34.7%)和酒精(22.2%)是最常见的病因。严重 AP 患者占 33.5%。持续性 MOF 患者的死亡率(42.9%)高于持续性单器官衰竭患者的死亡率(3.6%),P 值为
Evaluating the prognostic performance of the novel ERAP score in Vietnamese acute pancreatitis patients.
Early recognition of severe acute pancreatitis (AP) is crucial for timely intervention. This study aims to evaluate the prognostic accuracy of the Emergency Room Assessment of AP (ERAP) score and compare it with the Bedside Index for Severity in AP (BISAP) score in predicting severe AP, mortality, and persistent multiple organ failure (MOF) in Vietnamese patients. This prospective cohort study included AP patients admitted to Cho Ray Hospital between August 2021 and May 2022. Patient data, including demographics, clinical presentations, and laboratory results, were collected upon admission. The ERAP and BISAP scores were calculated from these admission data. The prognostic accuracy for severe AP, mortality, and persistent MOF was assessed via the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC). Among 167 AP patients (mean age 41.5 ± 12.0 years), hypertriglyceridemia (34.7%) and alcohol (22.2%) were the most prevalent etiologies. Severe AP accounted for 33.5% of the patients. Mortality rates were higher in persistent MOF patients (42.9%) than in persistent single-organ failure patients (3.6%), with a P value <.001. The ERAP score had AUCs for predicting severe AP, mortality, and persistent MOF of 0.899, 0.817, and 0.867, respectively, with an optimal cutoff of ≥2. The ERAP score had a better prognostic value than the BISAP score in predicting severe AP (AUC: 0.899 vs 0.820; P = .0072) and persistent MOF (AUC: 0.867 vs 0.785; P = .0193) but had a similar prognostic value for mortality (AUC: 0.817 vs 0.728; P = .0628). The ERAP score has strong predictive value for severe AP and persistent MOF, surpassing the BISAP score in these categories while maintaining similar accuracy for mortality prediction in the Vietnamese population. The ERAP score can be a valuable tool for the early identification of high-risk AP patients, enabling timely and appropriate clinical interventions.
期刊介绍:
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