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引用次数: 0
摘要
在许多不同的期刊上发表了许多关于 Covid-19 数据建模的论文。这些论文中的绝大多数都对如何处理疫情做出了很大贡献。另一方面,也有一些论文滥用 Covid-19 数据,例如仅仅是为了数学/统计创新。在本说明中,我们将讨论这样一篇论文,其中考虑了 Covid-19 两组数据的建模问题。我们发现,用更简单的分布(包括单参数指数分布)对数据集进行建模效果更好。柯尔莫哥洛夫-斯米尔诺夫统计量、其 p 值、概率图和其他拟合优度标准都表明拟合效果更好。
On the Modeling of Two Covid-19 Data Sets Using a Generalized Log-Exponential Transformed Distribution
Many papers are being published in many different journals on modeling of Covid-19 data. The vast majority of these papers contributes much to how to handle the epidemic. On the other hand, there have been papers misusing Covid-19 data, for example, simply for mathematical/statistical innovation. In this note, we discuss one such paper where modeling of two data sets of Covid-19 were considered. We show that the data sets can be modeled better by simpler distributions, including the one-parameter exponential distribution. The better fits were shown by the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic, its p-value, probability plots and other goodness-of-fit criteria.
期刊介绍:
The National Academy Science Letters is published by the National Academy of Sciences, India, since 1978. The publication of this unique journal was started with a view to give quick and wide publicity to the innovations in all fields of science