利用机器学习对地表气象变量和短程预报进行实时天气监测的综合、自动化和模块化方法

IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
R. Tsela, S. Maladaki, S. Kolios
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引用次数: 0

摘要

天气监测和预报在农业、交通和极端天气现象等各种人类活动中发挥着至关重要的作用。本研究介绍了开发全自动系统的初步成果,该系统可实时记录基本气象参数并进行短程预报(现在预报)。系统本身分为五个核心部分:监测大气条件的硬件系统(商用现成结构)、存储和管理数据的系统、向支持应用分发数据的模块、用于预报的机器学习算法和用户友好界面。最后,介绍了现在预测程序和相对准确的结果。即时预报程序基于一个长短期记忆(LSTM)模型方案,该方案的参数化方式使其能够提前 2 小时提供可靠的预报。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An integrated, automated and modular approach for real-time weather monitoring of surface meteorological variables and short-range forecasting using machine learning

Weather monitoring and forecasting plays a vital role in a great variety of human activities such as agriculture, transportation, and extreme weather phenomena. This study presents the first outcomes of the development of a fully automated system regarding the real-time recording of basic meteorological parameters and their short-range forecasting (nowcasting). The system itself is divided into five core components: a hardware system for monitoring atmospheric conditions (Commercial Off-The-Shelf structures), a system for storing and managing data, a module for distributing data to support applications, a machine learning algorithm for nowcasting, and a user-friendly interface, all made by modern tools and methods, described analytically. Finally, the nowcasting procedure along with the relative accuracy results, is presented. The nowcasting procedure is based on a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model scheme which is parametrized in such a way that reliable forecasts, up to 2 h ahead of time, can be provided.

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来源期刊
Environmental Modelling & Software
Environmental Modelling & Software 工程技术-工程:环境
CiteScore
9.30
自引率
8.20%
发文量
241
审稿时长
60 days
期刊介绍: Environmental Modelling & Software publishes contributions, in the form of research articles, reviews and short communications, on recent advances in environmental modelling and/or software. The aim is to improve our capacity to represent, understand, predict or manage the behaviour of environmental systems at all practical scales, and to communicate those improvements to a wide scientific and professional audience.
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