允许共同冲击的多变量霍克斯过程

Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI:10.1016/j.spl.2024.110270
Zhehao Zhang, Ruina Xing
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管霍克斯过程已被广泛应用,但其概率特性却很难获得,这取决于模型结构。本文提出了一种多变量霍克斯过程,它允许来自每个边际过程的共同跳跃。这种共同跃迁的概率由另一个独立过程决定,该过程代表系统外部冲击的到达强度。新的多元跳跃过程的无穷小生成器由此得出。在此基础上,研究了矩和拉普拉斯变换,进一步证明了这种模型结构的优势。
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Multivariate Hawkes process allowing for common shocks

Although the Hawkes process has been widely applied, their probability properties are difficult to obtain, depending on the model structure. This paper proposes a multivariate Hawkes process, which allows for common jumps from each marginal processes. The probability of this common jump is determined by another independent process, which represents the arrival intensity of external shocks to the system. The infinitesimal generator of the new multivariate jump process is derived. Based on that, moments and the Laplace transform are studied, which further demonstrate the advantages of this model structure.

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