基于 GLIM 标准的改良提名图,用于预测接受手术切除的胃癌患者的生存率

IF 4.6 Q2 MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS
Xi Luo, Bin Cai, Weiwei Jin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在开发一个基于五个 GLIM 变量的综合模型,以预测个体生存率并为患者提供更合适的咨询服务。这项回顾性队列研究纳入了301名接受根治性切除术的胃癌(GC)患者。C反应蛋白(CRP)作为炎症标志物被纳入GLIM标准,并建立了预测胃癌患者5年总生存期(OS)的提名图。采用 Bootstrap 重复采样 1000 次进行内部验证。在301名患者中,有20人(6.64%)在5年内死亡。CRP提高了生存预测模型的灵敏度和准确性(无CRP模型的AUC=0.782,0.694至0.869;添加CRP模型的AUC=0.880,0.809至0.950)。此外,还建立了一个基于 GLIM 的提名图,其 AUC 为 0.889。预测 OS 的 C 指数为 0.878(95% CI:0.823 至 0.934),校准曲线拟合良好。决策曲线分析(DCA)显示了基于 GLIM 的提名图的临床实用性。CRP的加入提高了生存预测模型的灵敏度和准确性。本研究提出的提名图可以可靠地预测接受根治性切除术的 GC 患者的 5 年生存概率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A modified GLIM criteria-based nomogram for the survival prediction of gastric cancer patients undergoing surgical resection
This study aimed to develop a comprehensive model based on five GLIM variables to predict the individual survival and provide more appropriate patient counseling. This retrospective cohort study included 301 gastric cancer (GC) patients undergoing radical resection. C-reactive protein (CRP) as an inflammatory marker was included in GLIM criteria and a nomogram for predicting 5-year overall survival (OS) in GC patients was established. The Bootstrap repeated sampling for 1000 times was used for internal validation. Of the total 301 patients, 20 (6.64%) died within 5 years. CRP improved the sensitivity and accuracy of the survival prediction model (AUC = 0.782, 0.694 to 0.869 for the model without CRP; AUC = 0.880, 0.809 to 0.950 for the model adding CRP). Besides, a GLIM-based nomogram was established with an AUC of 0.889. The C-index for predicting OS was 0.878 (95% CI: 0.823 to 0.934), and the calibration curve fitted well. Decision curve analysis (DCA) showed the clinical utility of the nomogram based on GLIM. The addition of CRP improved the sensitivity and accuracy of the survival prediction model. The 5-year survival probability of GC patients undergoing radical resection can be reliably predicted by the nomogram presented in this study.
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来源期刊
ACS Applied Bio Materials
ACS Applied Bio Materials Chemistry-Chemistry (all)
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
2.10%
发文量
464
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