Saumya Mehta, Manuel Bassek, Marc Garnica-Caparros, Daniel Memmert
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“Chop and Change”: Examining the occurrence of squad rotation and its effect on team performance in top European football leagues
The occurrence of squad rotation in football and its effect on team performance in terms of points have not been comprehensively studied in football performance analysis literature. This study deploys a data-driven approach to examine the occurrence of squad rotation across English, French, Italian and Spanish leagues over multiple seasons. It aims to establish the relationship observed between average squad rotations in starting lineups and end-of-season points. A total of 16,720 matches dating from the 2010/11 to 2021/22 seasons were analysed for average rotations in each team involved and the respective team's end of season points, alongside contextual information such as injury and logarithmic market value. A linear mixed-effects model was used to study this relationship, with each variable as well as interaction of variables being analysed for fixed effects. The results show that a significant relationship exists between team success, average rotation of the team per match and market value of the team, while no significant effects are found for injuries. The results describe how universally deploying squad rotation may not yield higher points over a season, but also shows how the effect of rotations on team success keep increasing as the market value of teams increases.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Sports Science & Coaching is a peer-reviewed, international, academic/professional journal, which aims to bridge the gap between coaching and sports science. The journal will integrate theory and practice in sports science, promote critical reflection of coaching practice, and evaluate commonly accepted beliefs about coaching effectiveness and performance enhancement. Open learning systems will be promoted in which: (a) sports science is made accessible to coaches, translating knowledge into working practice; and (b) the challenges faced by coaches are communicated to sports scientists. The vision of the journal is to support the development of a community in which: (i) sports scientists and coaches respect and learn from each other as they assist athletes to acquire skills by training safely and effectively, thereby enhancing their performance, maximizing their enjoyment of the sporting experience and facilitating character development; and (ii) scientific research is embraced in the quest to uncover, understand and develop the processes involved in sports coaching and elite performance.