利用ERA5-陆地再分析数据评估地中海地区极端绝对温度的变化

IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Ecmel Erlat, Hakan Güler
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们利用ERA5-Land再分析网格数据集,分析了1950-2023年期间地中海地区(MedR)气候变化探测和指数专家组定义的最冷夜(TNn)、最冷日(TXn)、最热夜(TNx)和最热日(TXx)绝对极端气温的时空变化。结果表明,在过去 74 年中,地中海地区 TNn 和 TXn 的年频率和季节频率明显下降,而 TNx 和 TXx 的频率则有所上升,尤其是在一年中的炎热时期。自 1950 年以来,地中海沿岸地区年 TNn 的变化幅度高于所有极端温度绝对指数,地中海沿岸地区西部冬季的变化趋势更为明显。自 1950 年以来,地中海沿岸最热的年份是 2023 年,绝对最高气温有 35% 出现在这一年。根据佩蒂特检验的结果,地中海区域绝对极端寒冷气温指数的最显著变化点在 20 世纪 80 年代末,绝对极端温暖气温指数的最显著变化点在 20 世纪 90 年代末。在地中海沿岸地区的所有绝对极端温度指数中,都可以观察到变暖速率的空间差异。在每年的夏季,地中海西部(WMed)的气温上升,尤其是 TXx 和 TNn 的上升,要比地中海东部(EMed)明显得多。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Assessment of changes in absolute extreme temperatures in the Mediterranean region using ERA5-Land reanalysis data

Assessment of changes in absolute extreme temperatures in the Mediterranean region using ERA5-Land reanalysis data

We present the analysis of the spatio-temporal changes in absolute extreme temperatures of the coldest night (TNn), coldest day (TXn), and the hottest night (TNx) and, hottest day (TXx) as defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices in the Mediterranean Region (MedR) for the period 1950–2023 using ERA5-Land reanalysis gridded dataset. Results show that the annual and seasonal frequencies of TNn and TXn have significantly decreased, while the frequencies of TNx and TXx have increased over the last 74 years in the MedR particularly during hot periods of the year. Since 1950, the magnitude of change in the annual TNn is higher than all absolute extreme temperature indices in the MedR, with more pronounced trends in winter in the western MedR. The hottest year in the MedR since 1950 was 2023, when 35% of the highest absolute maximum temperatures were recorded. According to the results of Pettitt’s test, the most significant change point for MedR was in the late 1980s for the absolute extreme cold temperature indices and in the late 1990s for the absolute extreme warm temperature indices. Spatial differences in warming rates are observed for all absolute extreme temperature indices in the MedR. The increase in temperatures, particularly TXx and TNn, is much more pronounced in Western Mediterranean (WMed) during the annual and summer season than in the eastern Mediterranean (EMed).

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来源期刊
Theoretical and Applied Climatology
Theoretical and Applied Climatology 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
11.80%
发文量
376
审稿时长
4.3 months
期刊介绍: Theoretical and Applied Climatology covers the following topics: - climate modeling, climatic changes and climate forecasting, micro- to mesoclimate, applied meteorology as in agro- and forestmeteorology, biometeorology, building meteorology and atmospheric radiation problems as they relate to the biosphere - effects of anthropogenic and natural aerosols or gaseous trace constituents - hardware and software elements of meteorological measurements, including techniques of remote sensing
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