职业之树枝繁叶茂:地区经济复杂性的就业和替代效应

IF 4.6 3区 管理学 Q1 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR
Teng Long, Linmu Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的 区域经济的复杂性能否提高就业效应,就业结构是否也会受到异质性的影响?为了解决这些疑问,本文计划对这些问题进行系统的理论分析和定量检验。设计/方法/途径本文基于 1995-2022 年 129 个国家的宏观经济数据,通过建立相关模型,实证研究了经济复杂度对就业效应的影响及其机制渠道。研究结果结果表明,区域经济复杂度能够显著提高社会就业效应。同时,区域经济复杂度从积累财政盈余和增加劳动适龄人口两个方面对促进就业具有间接的积极作用。前者可以通过增加政府税源来刺激就业政策,后者可以通过刺激需求和增加就业来提高生产的专业化和复杂性。此外,区域经济的复杂性会导致就业市场的分化,使服务业与工农业劳动力市场、非正规就业市场与正规就业之间的界限更加明显,从而引发就业的替代效应。原创性/价值本文可能的创新和边际贡献如下:第一,关于就业或失业影响因素的研究很多,本文首次使用区域经济复杂性的概念,为就业效应影响因素的文献提供了一个新的研究方向。其次,本文拓宽了区域经济复杂性就业效应的研究视角,从产业结构的角度划分了各部门的就业替代效应,进一步分析了区域经济复杂性的就业促进效应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The trees of occupation are flourishing: employment and substitution effects of regional economic complexity

Purpose

Can regional economic complexity improve the employment effect, and is the employment structure also affected by heterogeneity? In order to solve these doubts, this paper plans to carry out systematic theoretical analysis and quantitative tests on these problems.

Design/methodology/approach

Based on the macroeconomic data of 129 countries from 1995 to 2022, this paper empirically studies the impact of economic complexity on the employment effect and its mechanism channel by building relevant models.

Findings

The results show that regional economic complexity can significantly improve the employment effect of society. At the same time, regional economic complexity has an indirect positive role in promoting employment from two aspects: accumulating fiscal surplus and increasing the working-age population. The former can stimulate employment policies by increasing the government’s tax sources, while the latter can increase production specialization and complexity by stimulating demand and increasing employment. In addition, regional economic complexity will lead to job market differentiation, making the boundary between the service sector and the labor market between industry and agriculture and between the informal employment market and the formal employment more obvious, thus triggering the substitution effect of employment.

Originality/value

The possible innovations and marginal contributions of this paper are as follows: First, there are many studies on the influencing factors of employment or unemployment, and this paper provides a new research direction for the literature on the influencing factors of employment effect by using the concept of regional economic complexity for the first time. Second, this paper broadens the research perspective of the employment effect of regional economic complexity, divides the employment substitution effect of various sectors from the perspective of industrial structure and further analyzes the employment promotion effect of regional economic complexity.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.40
自引率
11.40%
发文量
80
期刊介绍: ■Employee welfare ■Human aspects during the introduction of technology ■Human resource recruitment, retention and development ■National and international aspects of HR planning ■Objectives of human resource planning and forecasting requirements ■The working environment
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