小水电站的修复或拆除:对案例研究 "El Cerrajón "的环境和经济可持续性的评估

Eduardo Vázquez-López, Victor Matitos-Montoya, Madelyn Marrero
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引用次数: 0

摘要

20 世纪 50 年代,西班牙建造了许多小容量水电站。75 年过去了,现在必须决定是继续运行还是拆除它们。为了提供一个有效的答案,有必要使用决策工具,以便做出可持续的经济和环境决策。本研究提出了一种方法,即通过生命周期数据分析,采用生命周期成本这一经济指标以及碳足迹和体现能源这一环境指标。在建筑成本数据库和 PREDICE 软件工具的支持下,对影响进行了量化,PREDICE 软件工具用于量化维护任务中的环境影响。分析了 "Cerrajón "发电厂的案例研究,其中考虑了历史水文循环。对一个生命周期方案进行了评估,在该方案中,翻新工程将发电厂的寿命延长了 75 年。结果表明,与西班牙能源组合的影响相比,每生产 1 兆瓦时可节约高达 175 千克二氧化碳的环境影响,但没有发现经济效益。研究还表明,在气候变化的情况下,利润价格的盈亏平衡会增加。综合这两个标准,修复似乎是最佳选择。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Rehabilitation or Demolition of Small Hydropower Plants: Evaluation of the Environmental and Economic Sustainability of the Case Study “El Cerrajón”
During the 1950s, numerous small-capacity hydroelectric power plants were built in Spain. Seventy-five years on, it must now be decided whether to continue their operation or demolish them. In order to provide a valid answer, it is necessary to have access to decision-making tools that enable sustainable economic and environmental decision making. The present work proposes a methodology that employs an economic indicator of life cycle cost and environmental indicators of carbon footprint and embodied energy by means of life cycle data analysis. Quantification of the impacts was carried out with the support of construction cost databases and the PREDICE software tool for the quantification of environmental impacts incorporated into maintenance tasks. The case study of the “Cerrajón” power plant was analyzed, where historical hydrological cycles were considered. A life cycle scenario was evaluated in which renovation extended the life of the power plant by a further 75 years. The results show savings in environmental impacts with respect to the impacts of the Spanish energy mix of up to 175 kgCO2 per MWh produced, although no economic benefit was found. It was also shown that in climate change scenarios, the profit price breakeven increases. Rehabilitation appears to present the best choice when combining the two criteria.
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