利用系统动力学评估公众接受度对小型模块化反应堆选址的影响

IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS
Kyung Bae Jang, Tae Ho Woo
{"title":"利用系统动力学评估公众接受度对小型模块化反应堆选址的影响","authors":"Kyung Bae Jang,&nbsp;Tae Ho Woo","doi":"10.1016/j.esr.2024.101526","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study investigates the feasibility of siting a nuclear power plant (NPP) within a densely populated university campus. Site selection for NPPs is a complex process involving numerous interconnected factors. To address this complexity, we employ system dynamics (SD) modeling, a methodology renowned for its ability to quantify both technological and social aspects. Our simulation results indicate that public acceptance (PA) is a critical determinant in site selection. In the fourth month of the simulation, the model's values were identical in both PA and non-PA scenarios. However, subsequent simulations revealed a significant divergence, with PA-implicated values reaching 85.398 compared to 24.240 in the non-PA scenario. This disparity underscores the primacy of PA in the decision-making process. Given the extended timeline of NPP construction, the gap between PA and non-PA outcomes is likely to widen further, particularly in the context of positive public sentiment toward the NPP. The insights gleaned from this research can be applied to other industries, such as oil refineries, where the potential for atmospheric pollution due to toxic gas leaks necessitates careful site selection.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":11546,"journal":{"name":"Energy Strategy Reviews","volume":"55 ","pages":"Article 101526"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X24002359/pdfft?md5=9d6475a24043d43bb3960a2de4f4986e&pid=1-s2.0-S2211467X24002359-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Implications of public acceptance assessments for site selections in the small modular reactors using system dynamics\",\"authors\":\"Kyung Bae Jang,&nbsp;Tae Ho Woo\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.esr.2024.101526\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This study investigates the feasibility of siting a nuclear power plant (NPP) within a densely populated university campus. Site selection for NPPs is a complex process involving numerous interconnected factors. To address this complexity, we employ system dynamics (SD) modeling, a methodology renowned for its ability to quantify both technological and social aspects. Our simulation results indicate that public acceptance (PA) is a critical determinant in site selection. In the fourth month of the simulation, the model's values were identical in both PA and non-PA scenarios. However, subsequent simulations revealed a significant divergence, with PA-implicated values reaching 85.398 compared to 24.240 in the non-PA scenario. This disparity underscores the primacy of PA in the decision-making process. Given the extended timeline of NPP construction, the gap between PA and non-PA outcomes is likely to widen further, particularly in the context of positive public sentiment toward the NPP. The insights gleaned from this research can be applied to other industries, such as oil refineries, where the potential for atmospheric pollution due to toxic gas leaks necessitates careful site selection.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":11546,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Energy Strategy Reviews\",\"volume\":\"55 \",\"pages\":\"Article 101526\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X24002359/pdfft?md5=9d6475a24043d43bb3960a2de4f4986e&pid=1-s2.0-S2211467X24002359-main.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Energy Strategy Reviews\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X24002359\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENERGY & FUELS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Energy Strategy Reviews","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X24002359","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENERGY & FUELS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了在人口稠密的大学校园内建造核电站(NPP)的可行性。核电站选址是一个复杂的过程,涉及众多相互关联的因素。为了应对这种复杂性,我们采用了系统动力学(SD)建模方法,该方法因其能够量化技术和社会方面而闻名。我们的模拟结果表明,公众接受度(PA)是选址的关键决定因素。在模拟的第四个月,PA 和非 PA 方案的模型值完全相同。然而,随后的模拟结果显示出明显的差异,PA 仿真值达到 85.398,而非 PA 仿真值为 24.240。这种差异凸显了 PA 在决策过程中的重要性。鉴于国家核电厂建设的时间较长,PA 与非 PA 结果之间的差距可能会进一步扩大,尤其是在公众对国家核电厂持积极态度的情况下。从本研究中获得的启示可应用于其他行业,如炼油厂,由于有毒气体泄漏可能造成大气污染,因此必须谨慎选址。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Implications of public acceptance assessments for site selections in the small modular reactors using system dynamics

This study investigates the feasibility of siting a nuclear power plant (NPP) within a densely populated university campus. Site selection for NPPs is a complex process involving numerous interconnected factors. To address this complexity, we employ system dynamics (SD) modeling, a methodology renowned for its ability to quantify both technological and social aspects. Our simulation results indicate that public acceptance (PA) is a critical determinant in site selection. In the fourth month of the simulation, the model's values were identical in both PA and non-PA scenarios. However, subsequent simulations revealed a significant divergence, with PA-implicated values reaching 85.398 compared to 24.240 in the non-PA scenario. This disparity underscores the primacy of PA in the decision-making process. Given the extended timeline of NPP construction, the gap between PA and non-PA outcomes is likely to widen further, particularly in the context of positive public sentiment toward the NPP. The insights gleaned from this research can be applied to other industries, such as oil refineries, where the potential for atmospheric pollution due to toxic gas leaks necessitates careful site selection.

求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Energy Strategy Reviews
Energy Strategy Reviews Energy-Energy (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
12.80
自引率
4.90%
发文量
167
审稿时长
40 weeks
期刊介绍: Energy Strategy Reviews is a gold open access journal that provides authoritative content on strategic decision-making and vision-sharing related to society''s energy needs. Energy Strategy Reviews publishes: • Analyses • Methodologies • Case Studies • Reviews And by invitation: • Report Reviews • Viewpoints
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信