气温和降水对巴西圣保罗州坎皮纳斯登革热发病率的影响（2013-2022 年）。

IF 1.8 4区医学 Q2 PARASITOLOGY

Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical Pub Date : 2024-09-02 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1590/0037-8682-0080-2024

Bernardo Geraldini, Igor Cavallini Johansen, Marcelo Justus

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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景：全球登革热病例正在上升，尤其是在巴西：全球登革热病例正在上升，尤其是在巴西：通过使用月度数据，我们估计了带有 ARIMA 误差的线性回归，以衡量气温和降水对巴西圣保罗州坎皮纳斯市登革热发病率的影响：结果：研究结果表明，平均气温每升高 1°C 会导致登革热发病率在 2 个月内累计增加 40%。降水量没有明显影响：结论：研究结果凸显了温度对登革热及其他潜在蚊媒疾病传播的重要性。

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Influence of temperature and precipitation on dengue incidence in Campinas, São Paulo State, Brazil (2013-2022).

Background: Global dengue cases are rising, notably in Brazil.

Methods: By using monthly data, we estimated linear regressions with ARIMA errors to measure the influence of temperature and precipitation on dengue incidence in the city of Campinas, São Paulo State, Brazil.

Results: Findings suggest that a 1°C increase in mean temperature can lead to a cumulative increase of up to 40% in dengue incidence within 2 months. Precipitation shows no significant impact.

Conclusions: Results highlight the importance of temperature on the spread of dengue and potentially other mosquito-borne diseases.

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来源期刊

Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical 医学-热带医学

CiteScore

3.40

自引率

10.00%

发文量

195

审稿时长

3-8 weeks

期刊介绍： The Journal of the Brazilian Society of Tropical Medicine (JBSTM) isan official journal of the Brazilian Society of Tropical Medicine) with open access. It is amultidisciplinary journal that publishes original researches related totropical diseases, preventive medicine, public health, infectious diseasesand related matters. Preference for publication will be given to articlesreporting original observations or researches. The journal has a peer-reviewsystem for articles acceptance and its periodicity is bimonthly. The Journalof the Brazilian Society of Tropical Medicine is published in English.The journal invites to publication Major Articles, Editorials, Reviewand Mini-Review Articles, Short Communications, Case Reports, TechnicalReports, Images in Infectious Diseases, Letters, Supplements and Obituaries.