An Increase in Aspartate Aminotransferase Can Predict Worsening Disease Severity in Japanese Patients with COVID-19.

Background: The prognostic significance of liver dysfunction in COVID-19 patients remains unclear. In this study, we investigated the association between liver function test results and severe disease progression in COVID-19 patients.

Methods: This retrospective study included consecutive Japanese COVID-19 patients admitted between February 2020 and July 2021. Predictive variables for severe disease progression were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis. Severe disease-free survival was estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis. Aspartate aminotransferase (AST) was divided into three grades: grade 1, AST < 30 U/L; grade 2, 30 U/L ≤ AST < 60 U/L; and grade 3, AST > 60 U/L.

Results: Among 604 symptomatic patients, 141 (23.3%) developed severe disease at a median of 2 days postadmission. The median hospital stay was 10 days, and 43 patients (7.1%) died during hospitalization. Multivariate regression analysis revealed that hypertension, decreased lymphocyte count, and elevated LDH, CRP, and AST levels (grade 2 and grade 3 relative to grade 1) were the significant predictive variables. Severe disease-free survival time was significantly different between the different AST grades (hazard ratio (HR): grade 2 vs. grade 1, 4.07 (95% confidential interval (CI): 2.06-8.03); grade 3 vs. grade 1, 7.66 (95% CI: 3.89-15.1)).

Conclusions: The AST level at admission was an independent risk factor for severe disease in hospitalized Japanese patients with COVID-19.