强迫移民与地方经济发展：战后匈牙利的证据

IF 5.1 1区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103355

{"title":"强迫移民与地方经济发展：战后匈牙利的证据","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103355","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We investigate the effects of forced migration on sending economies using the post-WW2 expulsion of German minorities from Hungary as a natural experiment. We combine historical and contemporary data sources to show that the forced migrations led to lasting reductions in economic activity. Plausible mechanisms driving this result appear to be sectoral change (shift towards agriculture) and skills differences between Germans and the settlers that replaced them. Our analysis reveals that forced migration can cause lasting regional inequalities in sending economies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.1000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304387824001044/pdfft?md5=e7d17100c79c3788e45e0a2b3ec26260&pid=1-s2.0-S0304387824001044-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Forced migration and local economic development: Evidence from postwar Hungary\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103355\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>We investigate the effects of forced migration on sending economies using the post-WW2 expulsion of German minorities from Hungary as a natural experiment. We combine historical and contemporary data sources to show that the forced migrations led to lasting reductions in economic activity. Plausible mechanisms driving this result appear to be sectoral change (shift towards agriculture) and skills differences between Germans and the settlers that replaced them. Our analysis reveals that forced migration can cause lasting regional inequalities in sending economies.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48418,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Development Economics\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304387824001044/pdfft?md5=e7d17100c79c3788e45e0a2b3ec26260&pid=1-s2.0-S0304387824001044-main.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Development Economics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304387824001044\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Development Economics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304387824001044","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

摘要

我们以二战后匈牙利驱逐德国少数民族为自然实验，研究了强迫移民对输出地经济的影响。我们结合历史和当代数据来源，证明强迫移民导致了经济活动的持续减少。推动这一结果的合理机制似乎是部门变化（向农业转移）以及德国人和取代他们的定居者之间的技能差异。我们的分析表明，强迫移民会在输出地经济中造成持久的地区不平等。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

Forced migration and local economic development: Evidence from postwar Hungary

We investigate the effects of forced migration on sending economies using the post-WW2 expulsion of German minorities from Hungary as a natural experiment. We combine historical and contemporary data sources to show that the forced migrations led to lasting reductions in economic activity. Plausible mechanisms driving this result appear to be sectoral change (shift towards agriculture) and skills differences between Germans and the settlers that replaced them. Our analysis reveals that forced migration can cause lasting regional inequalities in sending economies.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

Journal of Development Economics ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

8.30

自引率

4.00%

发文量

126

审稿时长

72 days

期刊介绍： The Journal of Development Economics publishes papers relating to all aspects of economic development - from immediate policy concerns to structural problems of underdevelopment. The emphasis is on quantitative or analytical work, which is relevant as well as intellectually stimulating.