经济增长与地区差距：巴西塞尔希培州的长期展望

IF 1.7 Q2 GEOGRAPHY

Regional Science Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI:10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100125

Luiz Carlos de Santana Ribeiro , Olga Hianni Portugal Vieira , Kênia Barreiro de Souza , José Ricardo de Santana

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在构建和评估塞尔希培州经济的长期情景，以确定哪些部门更有能力利用该州的经济增长并缩小地区差距。我们使用了一个动态和跨地区的 CGE 模型，并对 2015 年和 41 个行业进行了校准。我们的模拟捕捉了该州各行业冲击的影响，并探讨了这些冲击对整个经济的直接和间接影响。主要结果显示，农业、交通运输、金融中介和公用事业工业服务等行业对该州国内生产总值的影响均高于平均水平，并有助于缩小地区差距。

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Economic growth and regional disparities: A long-term perspective for the state of Sergipe, Brazil

This paper aims to build and evaluate long-term scenarios within the economy of the state of Sergipe so as to identify sectors with a greater capacity to leverage the state's economic growth and mitigate regional disparities. We use a dynamic and inter-regional CGE model, calibrated for the year 2015 and 41 sectors. Our simulations capture he effects of sectorial shocks in the state and explore the direct and indirect effects of such shocks throughout the economy. The main results show that sectors such as Agriculture, Transport, Financial intermediation, and Public Utility Industrial Services all have an above average impact on the state’s GDP and contribute to a reduction in regional disparities.

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来源期刊

Regional Science Policy and Practice GEOGRAPHY-

CiteScore

3.60

自引率

5.90%

发文量

期刊介绍： Regional Science Policy & Practice (RSPP) is the official policy and practitioner orientated journal of the Regional Science Association International. It is an international journal that publishes high quality papers in applied regional science that explore policy and practice issues in regional and local development. It welcomes papers from a range of academic disciplines and practitioners including planning, public policy, geography, economics and environmental science and related fields. Papers should address the interface between academic debates and policy development and application. RSPP provides an opportunity for academics and policy makers to develop a dialogue to identify and explore many of the challenges facing local and regional economies.