基于模糊 AHP-VIKOR 的安全关键系统风险分析框架:核电站案例研究

IF 1.9 3区 工程技术 Q1 NUCLEAR SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
Anwesa Das , Vinay Kumar , Subrata Dutta
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引用次数: 0

摘要

核电站等行业的关键系统依靠各种预防方法,通过高效的策略和设备将故障或风险降至最低。然而,在许多企业中,维护工作开展得不频繁、不恰当,而且没有考虑到电厂或其设备的整体状态。要选择适当的风险预防方法,就必须按顺序对每个组件的风险进行彻底检查。本文介绍了模糊分析层次过程 (AHP)-VIKOR 技术,这是一种多标准决策方法,用于对核电行业普遍存在的各种风险进行排序。通过确定适当的风险排序,该方法旨在减少不幸事故的发生,同时最大限度地减少恢复时间和成本。五位经验丰富的研究人员和专家根据三项风险标准评估了风险的影响:严重性、发生率和发现率。利用这些专家的意见和判断,采用模糊 AHP-VIKOR 方法来计算每个绩效标准的权重和每个风险或危害的等级。所建议的方法旨在帮助主管人员解决以不可比和相互冲突的标准为特征的离散问题。本研究通过提供包含各种性能参数的更高风险分析,为行业做出了贡献。本文最后介绍了使用模糊 AHP-VIKOR 方法对行业内所有风险进行优先排序的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A fuzzy-based AHP-VIKOR framework for risk analysis of safety-critical systems: A case study of nuclear power plant

The critical systems in industries such as nuclear power plants rely on various preventive methods to minimize failures or risks through efficient strategies and equipment. However, in many businesses, maintenance tasks are carried out infrequently, improperly, and without consideration for the overall state of the plant or its equipment. To choose the appropriate risk preventive approach, a thorough examination of each component’s risks in a sequential manner becomes imperative. This paper introduces the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)-VIKOR technique, a Multicriteria Decision Making Approach employed to rank the various risks prevalent in the nuclear power industry. By identifying the proper sequence of risks, this approach aims to reduce the occurrence of unfortunate mishaps, along with minimizing recovery time and costs. Five experienced researchers and experts assessed the impact of risk based on three risk criteria: Severity, Occurrence, and Detection. Utilizing the opinions and judgments of these experts, the Fuzzy AHP-VIKOR approach was employed to calculate the weight of each performance criterion and the ranking of each risk or hazard. The suggested method is designed to assist supervisors in resolving discrete problems characterized by incommensurable and conflicting criteria. This study contributes to the industry by providing a higher risk analysis incorporating various performance parameters. The paper concludes by presenting a result with the priorities of all risks in the industry using the fuzzy AHP-VIKOR method.

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来源期刊
Annals of Nuclear Energy
Annals of Nuclear Energy 工程技术-核科学技术
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
21.10%
发文量
632
审稿时长
7.3 months
期刊介绍: Annals of Nuclear Energy provides an international medium for the communication of original research, ideas and developments in all areas of the field of nuclear energy science and technology. Its scope embraces nuclear fuel reserves, fuel cycles and cost, materials, processing, system and component technology (fission only), design and optimization, direct conversion of nuclear energy sources, environmental control, reactor physics, heat transfer and fluid dynamics, structural analysis, fuel management, future developments, nuclear fuel and safety, nuclear aerosol, neutron physics, computer technology (both software and hardware), risk assessment, radioactive waste disposal and reactor thermal hydraulics. Papers submitted to Annals need to demonstrate a clear link to nuclear power generation/nuclear engineering. Papers which deal with pure nuclear physics, pure health physics, imaging, or attenuation and shielding properties of concretes and various geological materials are not within the scope of the journal. Also, papers that deal with policy or economics are not within the scope of the journal.
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