A distributionally robust optimization approach for the potassium fertilizer product transportation considering transshipment through crossdocks

Potassium fertilizer is an essential input for agricultural productivity, and plays a critical role in various plant processes, influencing water uptake, enzyme activation, and photosynthesis. The efficient delivery of potassium fertilizer products to the end-users, typically farmers and agricultural enterprises, is of utmost importance. Due to the long traveling distance between the supplier and customers, decision makers of supplier normally set up multiple crossdocks to aid in transition and storage of potassium fertilizer products. In this situation, making an optimal transportation plan as well as the inventory level of crossdocks will directly enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of long-distance transportation. In this study, we model this problem as a dynamic transportation problem with transshipment considering the uncertain time-varying customers’ demand. To characterize the demand information, we first construct an ambiguity set of customers’ demand based in limited historical data and then develop a distributionally robust optimization-based (DRO) framework to optimize the transportation plan and related inventory level of crossdocks simultaneously. We also propose a general approach to overcome the computational challenges of DRO by transforming the original DRO into a second-order cone programming based on duality theory. Additionally, we introduce linear decision rules to adjust the optimization strategy based on the new observed demand, thus lead the model to handle the dynamic information flow in real time. In case study, all involved data are collected or derived from a real potassium fertilizer company located at Western China. The results show our model reduces the cost by 18.07% compared to stochastic model (sample average approximation), indicating a significant effectiveness of our model on the improvement of delivery efficiency and cost saving in real dynamic logistic systems. Also, we conclude the managerial insight that decision-makers should develop a comprehensive strategy, including improving communication to ensure order status updates, planning rationally to evenly distribute orders, and proactively allocating resources to meet operational demands.