资本是农业就业的支柱:1975 年霜冻的证据

IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Bruno Barsanetti
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引用次数: 0

摘要

临时冲击如何影响农业就业的空间分布?我通过研究 1975 年对巴西咖啡树造成损害的霜冻来探讨这个问题。我发现,霜冻持续影响了农业就业的空间分布。为了确定霜冻对资本破坏的影响,我比较了霜冻前咖啡树密度不同、受极端天气影响不同的地方经济中农业就业的变化。霜冻导致农业就业率持续下降。研究结果符合历史与预期模型,在该模型中,尽管作物选择具有战略互补性,但固定资本和特定资本(如咖啡树)会阻碍多重均衡。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Capital as an anchor of agricultural employment: Evidence from the 1975 frost

How do temporary shocks affect the spatial distribution of employment in agriculture? I investigate this question by examining the 1975 frost that damaged coffee trees in Brazil. I find that the frost persistently affected the spatial distribution of employment in agriculture. To identify the effects of the capital destruction from the frost, I compare changes in agricultural employment across local economies that had different coffee tree densities right before the frost and that were differently affected by the extreme weather. The frost resulted in a persistent decline in agricultural employment. The findings are consistent with a history versus expectations model in which fixed and specific capital (such as coffee trees) prevents multiple equilibria despite strategic complementarities in crop choice.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
9.70%
发文量
63
期刊介绍: Regional Science and Urban Economics facilitates and encourages high-quality scholarship on important issues in regional and urban economics. It publishes significant contributions that are theoretical or empirical, positive or normative. It solicits original papers with a spatial dimension that can be of interest to economists. Empirical papers studying causal mechanisms are expected to propose a convincing identification strategy.
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