潜在天然气短缺对德国地区工业的影响

IF 1.2 4区经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS

German Economic Review Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI:10.1515/ger-2024-0017

Robert Lehmann, Christoph Schult

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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们估算了在天然气短缺的情况下对地区工业的潜在影响。在德国，天然气短缺可能导致工业增加值减少 1.6%。德国各州之间的差异显著，从莱茵兰-法尔茨州的 2.2% 到汉堡的 0.7%。我们强调，有必要编制地区投入产出表，以便在国家以下层面进行经济分析，尤其是在地区产业结构不尽相同的情况下。使用全国性数据进行近似分析可能会导致结果在规模和相对地区影响程度上的差异。我们的研究结果突出表明，可以通过改进区域数据库来实现更准确的政策指导。

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Regional Industrial Effects in Germany from a Potential Gas Deficit

We estimate potential regional industrial effects in case of a threatening gas deficit. For Germany, the reduction leads to a potential decrease in industrial value added by 1.6 %. The heterogeneity across German states is remarkable, ranging from 2.2 % for Rhineland-Palatinate to 0.7 % for Hamburg. We emphasize the need for regional input-output tables to conduct economic analysis on a sub-national level, particularly when regional industrial structures are heterogeneous. The approximation with national figures can lead to results that differ both in magnitude and relative regional exposure. Our findings highlight that more accurate policy guidance can be achieved by improving the regional database.

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来源期刊

German Economic Review ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

2.30

自引率

9.10%

发文量

期刊介绍： German Economic Review, the official publication of the German Economic Association (Verein für Socialpolitik), is an international journal publishing original and rigorous research of general interest in a broad range of economic disciplines, including: - macro- and microeconomics - economic policy - international economics - public economics - finance - business administration The scope of research approaches includes theoretical, empirical and experimental work. Innovative and thought-provoking contributions, in particular from younger authors, are especially welcome.