Humidity Diffusion Process Analysis and Life Prediction of a VSC-HVDC Control Protection Device Based on a Finite Element Simulation Method

Voltage Source Converter-based High-Voltage Direct Current Transmission (VSC-HVDC) is essential for integrating renewable energy sources and facilitating inter-regional power transmission. This study evaluates the reliability of control and protection devices within these systems, which are crucial for the stable operation of power grids. Humidity significantly affects both the operational conditions and lifespan of these devices. Previous studies, reliant on extensive full-condition fatigue testing, have lacked effective test models and detailed analyses of mechanisms. To address this gap, a humidity diffusion model was developed to comprehensively investigate moisture diffusion mechanisms. Using the insights gained, the Hallberg–Peck model was applied to predict the lifespan of these devices, quantitatively assessing how changes in humidity affect their reliability. This approach employs a stringent failure criterion, leading to a conservative predicted lifespan. This method achieved a prediction accuracy of 85.648% compared to the benchmarks in GB/T 2423.50-2012, validating the accuracy of our model and the effectiveness of our simulation technology under stringent conditions. This research provides vital theoretical data and serves as an essential tool for guiding the precise maintenance of equipment in varying environmental humidity levels.