评估旅游业带动通货膨胀的假说

IF 2 Q2 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM

Tourism Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI:10.37741/t.72.4.1

Ivan Kožić, Petar Sorić, Ivan Sever

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引用次数: 0

摘要

旅游带动经济增长假说是旅游经济学文献中研究最多的概念之一。迄今为止，许多实证研究已经验证了这一假设。由于增长带动通胀的概念属于宏观经济理论的基本原理，因此我们可以合理地认为，旅游业的发展也会带动通胀。但问题是，可以通过何种机制对其进行充分识别和评估。如果在任何地方，旅游业带动的通货膨胀首先会在旅游业对经济产生重大影响的国家出现。我们以其中一个国家为案例，使用结构向量自回归方法来研究旅游业引发的通货膨胀。所提出的经验框架也可作为适用于其他国家和地区的榜样。

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Assessing the Tourism-Led Inflation Hypothesis

The tourism-led economic growth hypothesis is one of the most investigated concepts in tourism economics literature. It has been verified by many empirical studies so far. Since the concept of growth-driven inflation belongs to the fundamentals of macroeconomic theory, one could reasonably assume inflation can also be led by tourism development. The question, however, is through what mechanisms could it be adequately identified and assessed. If anywhere, tourism-led inflation could first and foremost be perceived in a country with a significant economic impact of tourism. We take one of such countries as a case study and use the structural vector autoregression methodology to examine tourism-led inflation. The presented empirical framework may also serve as a role model applicable to other countries and regions.

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来源期刊

Tourism HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM-

CiteScore

3.10

自引率

17.60%

发文量

审稿时长

24 weeks

期刊介绍： Journal TOURISM is an international academic and professional quarterly which welcomes articles on various aspects of travel and tourism. Th e journal emphasises the broadness and interrelatedness of the tourism sector. Manuscripts submitted to the Journal can be processed quickly if they are prepared according to the following guidelines. Manuscripts will be returned to the author with a set of instructions if they are not submitted according to our style guide. No contribution will be accepted which has been published elsewhere, unless it is specifi cally invited or agreed by the Editor.