东南亚生产国之间的趋势 TSR 20 橡胶价格

Hilwa Salsabila G, Mirza Antoni, Dessy Adriani
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引用次数: 0

摘要

天然橡胶是世界上用于满足工业需求的最大商品之一。TSR 20 橡胶的价格持续波动,对各国的一些农民产生了重大影响。本研究分析了东南亚 TSR 20 橡胶的价格趋势。本研究的目的是分析东南亚 STR 20 橡胶价格的趋势和波动,如泰国标准橡胶(STR 20)、印尼标准橡胶(SIR 20)、越南标准橡胶(SVR 20)和马来西亚标准橡胶(SMR 20),从 2017 年 1 月至 2022 年 12 月的 72 个月。本研究采用简单线性回归法进行趋势分析。本研究采用历史研究法,对数据来源进行研究,然后进行批判性分析。数据收集技术是通过追踪农业部、贸易部、国际橡胶研究小组(IRSG)、新加坡商品交易所(SICOM)、天然橡胶生产国协会(ANRPC)、联合国粮食及农业组织(FAO)、世界银行和 Gapkindo 等机构存储的数据和文件以及现有文献和网站获得的。得出的结果是积极的趋势,国家之间的每一次发展都经历了积极的价格上涨,例如,STR 20 的多项式直线方程 Y = 0.0331x2 - 95,28x + 68596,然后 SIR 20 Y = 0.0231x2 - 66,443 + 47966,SVR 20 Y = 0.0301x2 - 86,824x + 62648,SMR 20 Y = 0.0279x2 - 80,411x + 58010。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Trend TSR 20 rubber prices between producing countries in Southeast Asia
Natural Rubber is one of the world's largest commodities used for industrial needs. The price of TSR 20 rubber continues to fluctuate, which has a significant impact on some farmers in various countries. This study analyzes the price trend of TSR 20 rubber in Southeast Asia. The purpose of this study is to analyze trends and fluctuations in STR 20 rubber prices in Southeast Asia, such as Standar Thailand Rubber (STR 20), Standar Indonesia Rubber (SIR 20), Standar Vietnam Rubber (SVR 20), and Standar Malaysia Rubber (SMR 20) for 72 months from January 2017 - December 2022. This research uses trend analysis with simple linear regression method. This research uses the historical method by conducting research on a source which is then critically analyzed. Data collection techniques are obtained by tracing data and documents that have been stored by agencies including the Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Trade, International Rubber Study Group (IRSG), Singapore Commodity Exchange (SICOM), Association of Natural Rubber Producing Countries (ANRPC), Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), The World Bank, and Gapkindo as well as existing literature and sites. The results obtained are positive trends where each development between countries has experienced a positive price increase, such as, STR 20 has a polynomial line equation Y = 0.0331x2 – 95,28x + 68596, then SIR 20 Y = 0.0231x2 -66,443 + 47966, SVR 20 Y = 0,0301x2 – 86,824x+ 62648, and SMR 20 Y = 0,0279x2 – 80,411x + 58010.
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