县(县级市)改市区对城市化滞后地区经济发展的影响及其机制:来自中国东北和西南地区的证据

IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES
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引用次数: 0

摘要

县改区(CTD)和县级市改城区(CLTD)政策是否能统一促进城市化滞后地区的经济增长?本研究使用了中国西南和东北地区 74 个县(县级市)的面板数据,时间跨度为 2006 年至 2022 年。通过对省会城市和非省会城市的比较分析,评估了 "城市发展综合试点 "和 "县域经济发展综合试点 "对城市经济发展的影响。结果表明(1)在城市化进程滞后的地区,城市发展综合实验区和文化旅游综合实验区不仅刺激了大多数城市的经济发展,而且在不同地区产生了不同的效果。(2)CTD 和 CLTD 对经济的影响在东北地区更为明显,平均 "处理效应 "达到 0.553,而西南地区的平均 "处理效应 "为 0.267,东北地区的处理效应值是西南地区的两倍。城市经济增长率通常在政策实施若干年后趋于稳定或下降,表明 CTD 和 CLTD 对经济增长的影响存在短期冲击。(3)CTD 和 CLTD 对省会城市经济发展具有较强的促进作用,与非省会城市的市辖区相比,其增长效应更强。例如,九台区的政策动态效应峰值高达 1.004,而江川区仅为 0.333。(4) CTD 和 CLTD 对经济发展的影响可归结为四个因素:政策、基础设施、产业和投资。这些因素包括财政收入和固定资产投资的增加、产业能力的增强、就业和教育水平的提高,从而在人居环境层面不断促进城市化的可持续发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The effect and its mechanism of turning county (county-level city) into urban district on the economic development in regions with lagging urbanization: Evidence from Northeast and Southwest China

Does the County to Urban District (CTD) and the County-level City to Urban District (CLTD) policy, uniformly promote economic growth across regions with lagging urbanization? This study utilizes panel data from 74 counties (county-level cities) in Southwest and Northeast China, covering the period from 2006 to 2022. It assesses the influence of the CTD and CLTD on urban economic development by conducting a comparative analysis between provincial and non-provincial capital cities. Results indicate that: (1) Both the CTD and CLTD not only stimulate economic development in most cities in regions with lagging urbanization, but also yield diverse effects across different regions. (2) The economic impact of CTD and CLTD is more pronounced in Northeast China, where the average "treatment effect" reaches 0.553, compared to an average "treatment effect" of 0.267 in Southwest China, making the treatment effect value in Northeast China is twice that of Southwest China. The growth rate of urban economies typically stabilizes or declines after a specific number of years following policy implementation, indicating short-term shocks in the influence of CTD and CLTD on economic growth. (3) The CTD and CLTD have a strong promotional effect on the economic development of provincial capital cities, with a stronger growth effect compared to municipal districts in non-provincial capital cities. For instance, the peak value of the policy dynamic effect in JiuTai District is as high as 1.004, while that in JiangChuan District is only 0.333. (4) The influence of CTD and CLTD on economic development can be attributed to four factors: policy, infrastructure, industry, and investment. These factors encompass an increase in fiscal revenue and fixed asset investment, enhancement of industrial capabilities, and improvement of employment and education levels, thereby promoting sustainable urbanization development continuously at the habitat level.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.50
自引率
10.30%
发文量
151
审稿时长
38 days
期刊介绍: Habitat International is dedicated to the study of urban and rural human settlements: their planning, design, production and management. Its main focus is on urbanisation in its broadest sense in the developing world. However, increasingly the interrelationships and linkages between cities and towns in the developing and developed worlds are becoming apparent and solutions to the problems that result are urgently required. The economic, social, technological and political systems of the world are intertwined and changes in one region almost always affect other regions.
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