{"title":"在观测研究中,对受协变因素驱动的观测结果进行边际结构模型的多重稳健估计。","authors":"Janie Coulombe, Shu Yang","doi":"10.1093/biomtc/ujae065","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Electronic health records and other sources of observational data are increasingly used for drawing causal inferences. The estimation of a causal effect using these data not meant for research purposes is subject to confounding and irregularly-spaced covariate-driven observation times affecting the inference. A doubly-weighted estimator accounting for these features has previously been proposed that relies on the correct specification of two nuisance models used for the weights. In this work, we propose a novel consistent multiply robust estimator and demonstrate analytically and in comprehensive simulation studies that it is more flexible and more efficient than the only alternative estimator proposed for the same setting. It is further applied to data from the Add Health study in the United States to estimate the causal effect of therapy counseling on alcohol consumption in American adolescents.</p>","PeriodicalId":8930,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11250490/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Multiply robust estimation of marginal structural models in observational studies subject to covariate-driven observations.\",\"authors\":\"Janie Coulombe, Shu Yang\",\"doi\":\"10.1093/biomtc/ujae065\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>Electronic health records and other sources of observational data are increasingly used for drawing causal inferences. The estimation of a causal effect using these data not meant for research purposes is subject to confounding and irregularly-spaced covariate-driven observation times affecting the inference. A doubly-weighted estimator accounting for these features has previously been proposed that relies on the correct specification of two nuisance models used for the weights. In this work, we propose a novel consistent multiply robust estimator and demonstrate analytically and in comprehensive simulation studies that it is more flexible and more efficient than the only alternative estimator proposed for the same setting. It is further applied to data from the Add Health study in the United States to estimate the causal effect of therapy counseling on alcohol consumption in American adolescents.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":8930,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Biometrics\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11250490/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Biometrics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1093/biomtc/ujae065\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"BIOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Biometrics","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1093/biomtc/ujae065","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"BIOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
电子健康记录和其他来源的观察数据越来越多地被用于因果推断。使用这些非研究目的的数据来估计因果效应会受到混杂因素和不规则间隔的协变量驱动的观察时间的影响。以前曾提出过一种考虑到这些特征的双重加权估计器,它依赖于对用于加权的两个滋扰模型的正确规范。在这项工作中,我们提出了一种新颖的一致乘稳健估计器,并通过分析和综合模拟研究证明,与针对相同环境提出的唯一替代估计器相比,该估计器更灵活、更高效。我们将其进一步应用于美国 Add Health 研究数据,以估计治疗咨询对美国青少年酒精消费的因果效应。
Multiply robust estimation of marginal structural models in observational studies subject to covariate-driven observations.
Electronic health records and other sources of observational data are increasingly used for drawing causal inferences. The estimation of a causal effect using these data not meant for research purposes is subject to confounding and irregularly-spaced covariate-driven observation times affecting the inference. A doubly-weighted estimator accounting for these features has previously been proposed that relies on the correct specification of two nuisance models used for the weights. In this work, we propose a novel consistent multiply robust estimator and demonstrate analytically and in comprehensive simulation studies that it is more flexible and more efficient than the only alternative estimator proposed for the same setting. It is further applied to data from the Add Health study in the United States to estimate the causal effect of therapy counseling on alcohol consumption in American adolescents.
期刊介绍:
The International Biometric Society is an international society promoting the development and application of statistical and mathematical theory and methods in the biosciences, including agriculture, biomedical science and public health, ecology, environmental sciences, forestry, and allied disciplines. The Society welcomes as members statisticians, mathematicians, biological scientists, and others devoted to interdisciplinary efforts in advancing the collection and interpretation of information in the biosciences. The Society sponsors the biennial International Biometric Conference, held in sites throughout the world; through its National Groups and Regions, it also Society sponsors regional and local meetings.