自动化对经济增长和劳动力市场的影响

IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Óscar Afonso
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究深入探讨了工业 4.0 背景下技术、劳动力市场和经济增长的复杂动态。通过将自动化资本纳入动态一般均衡模型,我们研究了其对经济表现和社会公平的影响。实证分析强调了自动化对非熟练劳动力的替代性,揭示了自动化应用、技能溢价和经济增长之间的微妙关系。与传统观点相反,我们的研究结果表明,在自动化的推动下,非熟练劳动力与熟练劳动力的比例降低,即使在面临人口减少等人口挑战的情况下,也能带来技能溢价的增加和经济的持续增长。然而,这一趋势也加剧了收入不平等,凸显了旨在促进技能提升和确保技术进步公平分配的政策干预的必要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Dynamics of automation in economic growth and the labor market

This study delves into the intricate dynamics of technology, labor markets, and economic growth within the context of Industry 4.0. By integrating automation capital into a dynamic general equilibrium model, we examine its implications for economic performance and social equity. The empirical analysis highlights the substitutability of unskilled labor by automation, revealing a nuanced relationship between automation adoption, the skill premium, and economic growth. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our findings suggest that a reduced ratio of unskilled to skilled labor, driven by automation, can lead to both an increase in the skill premium and sustained economic growth, even in the face of demographic challenges such as declining populations. However, this trend also exacerbates income inequality, underscoring the imperative for policy interventions aimed at promoting skill enhancement and ensuring equitable distribution of technological advancements.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
56
期刊介绍: The Bulletin of Economic Research is an international journal publishing articles across the entire field of economics, econometrics and economic history. The Bulletin contains original theoretical, applied and empirical work which makes a substantial contribution to the subject and is of broad interest to economists. We welcome submissions in all fields and, with the Bulletin expanding in new areas, we particularly encourage submissions in the fields of experimental economics, financial econometrics and health economics. In addition to full-length articles the Bulletin publishes refereed shorter articles, notes and comments; authoritative survey articles in all areas of economics and special themed issues.
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