拉丁美洲和加勒比地区的贸易开放度、治理质量和经济增长

Olugbenga A. Onafowora , Oluwole Owoye
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引用次数: 0

摘要

关于贸易开放与经济增长之间关系的现有文献很多,但很少有研究探讨这种关系是否取决于一国治理机构的质量。在本研究中,我们通过研究 2000-2021 年间治理质量对拉丁美洲和加勒比地区(LAC)贸易开放与经济增长关系的调节作用,弥补了这一空白。我们利用世界银行世界治理指标中的六个治理质量指标,并采用相关性和动态面板系统广义矩法技术进行稳健、高效的分析,当截面数量超过数据集的时间维度时,该技术会产生更准确的结果。我们的研究结果表明,治理有效性、法治、腐败控制和监管质量对贸易开放度与经济增长之间的正相关关系有显著的积极影响。相比之下,发言权和问责制以及政治稳定性对贸易开放度与经济增长关系的调节作用为负,且在统计上显著。基于这些结果,我们得出结论,各个治理维度对贸易开放与经济增长之间的关系具有不同的影响。在政策建议方面,决策者需要利用国际贸易的好处来促进经济增长;因此,拉丁美洲和加勒比国家应重点投资于机构质量,并制定政策来提高治理的整体质量和有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Trade openness, governance quality, and economic growth in Latin America and the Caribbean

The existing literature on the relationship between trade openness and economic growth is extensive, but there is a dearth of research that examines whether this relationship is contingent on the quality of governance institutions in a country. In this study, we address this gap by investigating the moderating effects of governance quality on the trade openness-economic growth nexus in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) during the 2000–2021 period. We utilize six indicators of governance quality from the World Bank's world governance indicators and employ correlation and the dynamic panel System Generalized Method of Moments technique for robust and efficient analysis, which yields more accurate results when the number of cross-sections exceeds the time dimension of the dataset. Our findings indicate that governance effectiveness, rule of law, control of corruption, and regulatory quality have a significantly positive impact on the positive relationship between trade openness and economic growth. In contrast, the moderating effects of voice and accountability and political stability on the trade openness-economic growth relationship are negative and statistically significant. Based on these results, we conclude that each governance dimension has distinct effects on the trade openness-economic growth nexus. In term of policy recommendation, policymakers need to harness the benefits of international trade for promoting economic growth; therefore, LAC countries should focus on investing in institutional quality and designing policies that would enhance the overall quality and effectiveness of governance.

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来源期刊
International Economics
International Economics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
6.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
74
审稿时长
71 days
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