{"title":"特朗普当选与少数族裔首席执行官的悲观情绪","authors":"Xiaoli Hu, Ya Kang, Oliver Zhen Li, Yupeng Lin","doi":"10.1007/s11142-024-09843-7","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Ethnic tension in the United States became more salient after Donald Trump’s election on November 9, 2016. Exploring the variation in management forecasts, we show that after the Trump election, minority CEOs exhibit more pessimism in their earnings forecasts (underestimation of the mean of earnings), compared with their non-minority counterparts. This tendency toward pessimism is observed across CEOs from various minority groups and is particularly pronounced in firms led by less experienced or less confident minority CEOs. Further analyses reveal that minority CEOs make less specific and less precise forecasts. Minority CEO pessimism is not explained by alternative explanations including terrorist attacks and minority CEOs’ political ideology. Collectively, our research provides evidence that the Trump election induces biased beliefs in the form of pessimism in ethnic minority CEOs.</p>","PeriodicalId":48120,"journal":{"name":"Review of Accounting Studies","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Trump election and minority CEO pessimism\",\"authors\":\"Xiaoli Hu, Ya Kang, Oliver Zhen Li, Yupeng Lin\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s11142-024-09843-7\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Ethnic tension in the United States became more salient after Donald Trump’s election on November 9, 2016. Exploring the variation in management forecasts, we show that after the Trump election, minority CEOs exhibit more pessimism in their earnings forecasts (underestimation of the mean of earnings), compared with their non-minority counterparts. This tendency toward pessimism is observed across CEOs from various minority groups and is particularly pronounced in firms led by less experienced or less confident minority CEOs. Further analyses reveal that minority CEOs make less specific and less precise forecasts. Minority CEO pessimism is not explained by alternative explanations including terrorist attacks and minority CEOs’ political ideology. Collectively, our research provides evidence that the Trump election induces biased beliefs in the form of pessimism in ethnic minority CEOs.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48120,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Review of Accounting Studies\",\"volume\":\"11 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Review of Accounting Studies\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"91\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11142-024-09843-7\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"管理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Review of Accounting Studies","FirstCategoryId":"91","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11142-024-09843-7","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Ethnic tension in the United States became more salient after Donald Trump’s election on November 9, 2016. Exploring the variation in management forecasts, we show that after the Trump election, minority CEOs exhibit more pessimism in their earnings forecasts (underestimation of the mean of earnings), compared with their non-minority counterparts. This tendency toward pessimism is observed across CEOs from various minority groups and is particularly pronounced in firms led by less experienced or less confident minority CEOs. Further analyses reveal that minority CEOs make less specific and less precise forecasts. Minority CEO pessimism is not explained by alternative explanations including terrorist attacks and minority CEOs’ political ideology. Collectively, our research provides evidence that the Trump election induces biased beliefs in the form of pessimism in ethnic minority CEOs.
期刊介绍：
Review of Accounting Studies provides an outlet for significant academic research in accounting including theoretical, empirical, and experimental work. The journal is committed to the principle that distinctive scholarship is rigorous. While the editors encourage all forms of research, it must contribute to the discipline of accounting. The Review of Accounting Studies is committed to prompt turnaround on the manuscripts it receives. For the majority of manuscripts the journal will make an accept-reject decision on the first round. Authors will be provided the opportunity to revise accepted manuscripts in response to reviewer and editor comments; however, discretion over such manuscripts resides principally with the authors. An editorial revise and resubmit decision is reserved for new submissions which are not acceptable in their current version, but for which the editor sees a clear path of changes which would make the manuscript publishable. Officially cited as: Rev Account Stud
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