D-dimer as a Marker of Severity and Prognosis in Acute Pancreatitis.

Background and objectives: Acute pancreatitis (AP) scores need a battery of tests that are not helpful at an early stage. Can a single test predict Complicated Acute Pancreatitis (CAP) which includes moderate and severe AP, local complications, and need for intensive care unit (ICU).

Methodology: 30 patients of AP. D-dimer, C-reactive protein levels done within 3 days of AP onset. APACHE II, Ranson's score, CT severity index were done. Inhospital disease course for development of organ failure and need for ICU care was followed daily.

Results: D-dimer in CAP was 2732 ng/L (MAP 567 ng/L), in abnormal computed tomography (CT) was 1916 ng/L (normal CT 363 ng/L), and in organ failure was 4776 ng/L (776.5 ng/L absent organ failure). D-dimer increases as the severity of organ failure increases (P = 0.04). D-dimer in ICU patients was significantly elevated (P = 0.021). D-dimer correlates with APACHE II score well, with an increase in predictive mortality rate (P = 0.01). On receiver operator characteristics, D-dimer >933.5 ng/L predicts CAP, >827.5 ng/L predicts positive CT findings (local complications), and >1060.5 ng/L predicts the development of organ failure.

Conclusion: Coagulopathy and microthrombi play a significant role in early pathogenesis. D-dimer test acts at the level of this core pathogenesis, even before the complications set in. D-dimer within 72 h of AP correlates well with the CT findings after 72 h. This is the first study that correlates D-dimer levels with CT scores, ICU requirement. D-dimer can guide primary care physicians in selecting AP patients for referral to a higher center in a resource-limited setting.