国家脆弱性、暴力和贸易：哥伦比亚的危险贸易路线

IF 2.4 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Papers in Regional Science Pub Date : 2024-06-18 DOI:10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100024

Paul H. Jung , Jean-Claude Thill , Luis Armando Galvis-Aponte

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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们研究了不安全局势带来的国内武装暴力对货运流动地理位置的影响，以及由此导致的各地区进入全球市场的差异。对哥伦比亚-美国出口航运记录进行的微观分析提供了大量证据，表明尽管陆路和海路航运距离延长，但内陆地区的出口货运仍被改道，以避免遭遇国内武装暴力。离散选择模型显示，由于局部地区的国内武装暴力，航运流受到了延长改道的限制。研究结果突出表明，全球南部地区要实现持续的货运流动和以出口为导向的经济发展，就必须兼顾安全问题。

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State fragility, violence and trade: Dangerous trade routes in Colombia

We investigate the effect of domestic armed violence brought about by insecurity on the geography of freight mobility and the resulting differential access of regions to global markets. There is a preponderance of evidence from the micro-level analysis of Colombia-U.S. export shipping records that export freight shipping from inland regions was re-routed to avoid exposure to domestic armed violence despite extended landside and maritime shipping distances. The discrete choice model shows that the shipping flow was curbed by the extended re-routing due to localized domestic armed violence. The results highlight that security must be accommodated for sustained freight mobility and export-oriented economic development in the Global South.

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来源期刊

Papers in Regional Science Multiple-

CiteScore

4.40

自引率

4.80%

发文量

期刊介绍： Regional Science is the official journal of the Regional Science Association International. It encourages high quality scholarship on a broad range of topics in the field of regional science. These topics include, but are not limited to, behavioral modeling of location, transportation, and migration decisions, land use and urban development, interindustry analysis, environmental and ecological analysis, resource management, urban and regional policy analysis, geographical information systems, and spatial statistics. The journal publishes papers that make a new contribution to the theory, methods and models related to urban and regional (or spatial) matters.