中国的 "液体 "作战转变及其对未来可能冲突的影响

IF 0.8 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Ryan R. Swan, Max Mutschler
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引用次数: 0

摘要

一些人认为,远程精确打击战是西方国家的一种现象,其动机是民主国家的领导人不希望部队伤亡过大,因为他们要连任。另一些人则认为,这是全球现代战争方式向 "液体战争 "转型的结果,其核心是在日益一体化和高科技化的战场上破坏对手的网络。本文将 "液体战争 "假说应用于中国 1993 年后的军事改革,从而推进了这一辩论。文章发现:(a) 中国发展并接受其盛行的 "系统摧毁战 "概念构成了其作战方式的液态转变,从而推翻了这种转变必然与民主政治体制相关的论点;(b) 中国作战方式的液态化对可能发生的地区冲突,尤其是涉及美国的冲突产生了直接影响,使双方都付出了更高的代价,并容易迅速升级。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
China’s ‘Liquid’ Warfighting Shift and Its Implications for Possible Future Conflict
Some suggest that remote, precision strike warfare is a Western phenomenon motivated by aversion to high troop casualties among democratic leaders subject to re-election. Others contend that it is the result of a global transition in the way of modern war towards ‘liquid warfare’, centred around the disruption of adversary networks in the increasingly integrated and high-tech battlespace. This article advances the debate by applying the liquid warfare hypothesis to China’s post-1993 military reforms. It finds (a) that China’s development and embrace of its prevailing ‘systems destruction warfare’ concept constitutes a liquid shift in its warfighting approach, dispelling the contention that such transformations are necessarily linked with democratic political systems; and (b) that the liquidification of China’s warfighting approach has immediate implications for possible regional conflict scenarios, particularly those involving the United States, making them mutually costlier and susceptible to rapid escalation.
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CiteScore
1.50
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0.00%
发文量
29
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