可持续性危机回顾与可持续繁荣评估

Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI:10.14207/ejsd.2024.v13n2p325
Lawrence Whitmore
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摘要

通过审查文献中的统计数据,重新审视和审查全球人类对生物圈的影响,并提供有关可持续发展问题的广泛书目。数据显示,动植物数量和森林面积持续减少,而与此同时,人类人口、资源使用和污染却在持续增加。对森林面积数据的分析表明,按照目前的人口增长率和资源消耗量,再加上全球变暖导致森林火灾不断增加,森林将在 85 年内被消灭。根据同样的数据,按目前的资源使用量估算,地球的承载能力为 25 亿人,而按目前资源使用量的三分之一估算,地球的承载能力为 80 亿人。植树造林以重建森林、节制消费、家庭管理以减少和稳定人口,被认为是实现可持续发展所需的主要因素。关于什么能带来繁荣的观点是可持续发展危机的根源,我们将结合其他价值观和经济模式对此进行研究。讨论了消费主义意识形态加速了自然资源的减少。环境守护神圣方济各的教诲和土著文化的理想被视为价值观的源泉,可用于将现代世界转变为一个更可持续的生态友好型世界,使人类和生物圈都能在其中繁荣发展。关键词:可持续性、环境、繁荣、经济、生物圈、人口、道德
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A Review of the Sustainability Crisis and an Appraisal of Sustainable Prosperity
Statistical data taken from the literature is reviewed to revisit and re-examine the impact of global humanity upon the biosphere and to provide a broad bibliography of issues relating to sustainability. The data shows the continuing decline of animal and plant populations and forest area, while at the same time human population, resource usage and pollution continue to increase. Analysis of forest area data shows that with the current human population growth rate and resource consumption, combined with increasing forest fires due to global warming, forests will be eradicated within 85 years. Using the same data, the carrying capacity of the planet is estimated to be 2.5 billion with current resource usage and 8 billion with one third of current resource usage. Plantation to rebuild forests, moderation of consumption, and family management to reduce and stabilize population, are identified as the main factors required for achieving sustainability. Views of what leads to prosperity is at the root of the sustainability crisis, and this is examined in relation to alternative values and economic models. The ideology of consumerism is discussed as accelerating the decline of natural resources. The teachings of Saint Francis of Assissi, the patron saint of the environment, and the ideals of indigenous cultures are considered as a source of values that can be adopted to transform the modern world into a more sustainable, eco-friendly world in which humans and the biosphere can thrive. Keywords: sustainability, environment, prosperity, economy, biosphere, population, morality
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