Hong-Dian Jiang , Qiao-Mei Liang , Yun-Fei Yao , Lan-Cui Liu
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引用次数: 0
摘要
鉴于碳捕集与封存(CCS)技术仍处于示范阶段,未来几十年迫切需要大规模部署 CCS,尤其是在电力行业。因此,我们建立了一个包含详细电力技术模块的可计算一般均衡模型,并评估了多种激励政策对电力行业大规模部署 CCS 的整体经济影响。结果表明:首先,如果只对 CCS 进行补贴,而不辅以碳定价,将导致偏离 CCS 发展的核心环境目标。其次,在 CCS 补贴与碳定价相结合的情况下,如果减少部门间接税,可以更好地缓解 GDP 损失,对节能减排也会产生明显的积极影响。最后,碳定价的渐进式部门覆盖方式有助于进一步减轻累积的 GDP 损失,缓解部门利润损失,提高对能源指标的积极影响。
Incentive policies to realize large-scale deployment of CCS in China's power sector and its economy-wide impacts
Given the carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology is still in the demonstration phase, large-scale deployment of CCS is urgently needed in the coming decades, especially in the power sector. Therefore, we built a computable general equilibrium model with detailed electricity technology module and assessed the economy-wide impacts of multiple incentive policies on large-scale deployment of CCS in the power sector. Results show that, first, if only CCS is subsidized, without supplementing carbon pricing, it will lead to deviations from the core environmental objectives of CCS development. Secondly, when CCS subsidies are combined with carbon pricing, if the sectoral indirect tax is reduced, the GDP loss can be better alleviated, and it can also have an obvious positive impact on energy conservation and emission reduction. Finally, a gradual sector-coverage way of carbon pricing contributes to further mitigating the accumulated GDP loss, easing sectoral profit losses, and improving positive effects on energy indicators.
期刊介绍:
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics publishes articles about theoretical, applied and methodological aspects of structural change in economic systems. The journal publishes work analysing dynamics and structural breaks in economic, technological, behavioural and institutional patterns.