影响投票行为的因素:巴基斯坦人民党(PTI)在开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦大选中连续获胜的案例研究

Nadir Abbass, Sher Bano, Syed Shah Hussain Hussain
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摘要

本文对导致巴基斯坦人民党赢得开伯尔巴图克瓦省 2018 年大选的因素进行了分析调查。这项研究意义重大,因为巴基斯坦人民党的连续成功被称为开伯尔巴图克瓦省历史上具有里程碑意义的发展。研究者以实证主义为研究理念,以定量方法为研究范式,采用统计方法和调查方法作为研究设计。研究对象仅限于德拉伊斯梅尔汗的选民。在检查了有效性和可靠性之后,通过适当的统计方法对数字数据进行了检验。结果显示,所有因素都对 PTI 的连续成功做出了重大贡献。在这些因素(新改革、政治口号、魅力型领导、建制派的作用、青年因素和反腐运动)中,2013-2018 年期间由 PTI 政府推出的新改革比其他任何变量的贡献都要大。结果显示,近 88% 的变化可归因于这些变量。研究得出结论,德拉伊斯梅尔汗的选民之所以青睐 PTI 候选人,是因为 PTI 引入了新的改革措施。研究建议,各政党应致力于机构改革,这些机构是为人民的利益而建立的,但他们却反其道而行之。未来的研究人员可以就这一特定问题在吉尔吉斯坦其他地区进行研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Factors Affecting Voting Behavior: A Case Study of the Consecutive Success of Pakistan Tehreek-e Insaf (PTI) in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa General Elections
Current paper is an analytical investigation into the elements that led to the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf winning the 2018 general elections in Province of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. This study is significant because the consecutive success of PTI is termed as landmark development in history of KP. Researcher adopted positivism as research philosophy, quantitative methodology as the research paradigm, statistical approach was employed and survey method as research design was used. The study was delimited to the voters of Dera Ismail Khan. The numerical data was tested through appropriate statistical means, after checking the validity and reliability. The results revealed that all the factors had contributed significantly in the consecutive success of PTI. Among these factors (new reforms, political slogans, charismatic leadership, the establishment's role, the youth factor, and anticorruption campaign), new reforms, introduced by the PTI government during 2013-2018 period has contributed more than any other variable. The results showed that almost 88% change can be attributed to these variables. It was concluded that voters of Dera Ismail Khan favored the PTI candidates on basis of the new reforms introduced by them. The study recommended that political parties should work on the reforms in the institutions which has been established for the benefit of people but they are doing opposite. Future researchers can study in other regions of the KP on this particular issue.
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