应急救援信息重要性对应急决策影响的研究

IF 2.6 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT
Wei Jiang, Jiankai Zhou, Shengxiang Ma, Zonghao Wu, Xiaoyuan Cui, Chaofan Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

应急救援信息是事故处理过程中影响应急决策的重要因素,确定这些信息的内容和重要性可以极大地帮助应急决策,提高应急决策的有效性。为此,本文将决策试验与评估实验室(DEMATEL)与反向传播(BP)神经网络相结合,并利用 Levenberg-Marquardt 算法(LM)对其进行优化,建立了 LM-BP-DEMATEL 模型,并以危险化学品泄漏事故为例,对应急救援信息的内容和重要性进行了研究。首先,利用国家法律法规和学术研究界定了应急救援信息的含义。其次,以危险化学品泄漏事故为例,收集了 62 起危险化学品泄漏事故,提取了 7 个类别共 32 条应急救援信息。第三,利用构建的 LM-BP-DEMATEL 模型分析了 62 个案例中 14 类常见应急救援信息的重要性。最后,得出 14 类应急救援信息的中心性和因果性,并根据中心性和因果性将其分为四类。研究结果表明,死亡信息(U8)和泄漏信息(U6)是最关键的应急救援信息,应给予应急决策更多的关注,并制定有针对性的策略来提高应急决策的效果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on the influence of emergency rescue information importance on emergency decisions

Emergency rescue information is a significant factor affecting emergency decisions in the accident process, and determining the content and importance of this information can greatly assist emergency decisions and improve their effectiveness. For this reason, this paper combines decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) with a backpropagation (BP) neural network and uses the Levenberg‒Marquardt (LM) algorithm to optimize it, builds the LM-BP-DEMATEL model, and investigates the contents and importance of emergency rescue information with hazardous chemical spills as an illustrative case. First, the meaning of emergency rescue information was defined using national laws and regulations and academic research. Second, using hazardous chemical spills as an example, 62 hazardous chemical spills were collected, and 7 categories with a total of 32 emergency rescue information were extracted. Third, the constructed LM-BP-DEMATEL model was utilized to analyse the importance of 14 types of common emergency rescue information in 62 cases. Last, the centrality and causality of 14 types of emergency rescue information were obtained and then classified into four categories according to centrality and causality. The research results show that deaths (U8) and leakage information (U6) are the most critical emergency rescue information, that more attention should be given to emergency decision-making and that targeted strategies should be formulated to improve the effect of emergency decisions.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
12.90%
发文量
51
期刊介绍: The Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management is an invaluable source of information on all aspects of contingency planning, scenario analysis and crisis management in both corporate and public sectors. It focuses on the opportunities and threats facing organizations and presents analysis and case studies of crisis prevention, crisis planning, recovery and turnaround management. With contributions from world-wide sources including corporations, governmental agencies, think tanks and influential academics, this publication provides a vital platform for the exchange of strategic and operational experience, information and knowledge.
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