Prognostic significance of preoperative to postoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen ratio after lobectomy for lung adenocarcinoma.

Introduction: Lung adenocarcinoma with a preoperatively elevated serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) value has a relatively poor postoperative prognosis. Although surgical resection generally results in a reduction in the CEA value, the significance of the change in the CEA value on the prognostic outcome remains unclear.

Methods: Our study included 133 patients who underwent lobectomy with curative intent for lung adenocarcinoma representing a preoperative CEA value > 5.0. Statistical analysis was performed using a receiver operating characteristic analysis and a stepwise Cox proportional hazards analysis.

Results: Both the postoperative CEA value and postoperative-to-preoperative CEA ratio (CEA ratio) significantly affected the survival. Although the CEA ratio was not predictive of the survival in patients with postoperative CEA ≤ 6.2 ng/ml (n = 105), it was predictive in the remaining patients with postoperative CEA > 6.2 ng/ml (n = 28). Patients with postoperative CEA > 6.2 ng/ml and a CEA ratio ≥ 0.39 (n = 7) showed the worst survival outcome. According to the multivariate analysis, the CEA ratio and postoperative nodal status were significant predictors of the survival in overall patients.

Conclusion: The CEA ratio may be a useful prognostic marker in patients who undergo lobectomy for lung adenocarcinoma and show postoperative CEA > 6.2 ng/ml. A high CEA ratio may indicate the presence of a subclinical residual tumor, which may lead to the development of subsequent recurrence.