YARONG ZHANG, NAVEED ANJUM, DAN TIAN, ABDULRAHMAN ALI ALSOLAMI
{"title":"利用双尺度分形人口动力学进行快速准确的人口预测及其在人口经济学中的应用","authors":"YARONG ZHANG, NAVEED ANJUM, DAN TIAN, ABDULRAHMAN ALI ALSOLAMI","doi":"10.1142/s0218348x24500828","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>One of the major challenges in population economics is accurately predicting population size. Incorrect predictions can lead to ineffective population control policies. Traditional differential models assume a smooth change in population, but this assumption is invalid when measuring population on a small-time scale. To address this change, we developed two-scale fractal population dynamics that can accurately predict population size with minimal experimental data. The Taylor series method is used to reveal the population’s dynamical properties, and the Padé technology is adopted to accelerate the convergence rate.</p>","PeriodicalId":501262,"journal":{"name":"Fractals","volume":"27 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"FAST AND ACCURATE POPULATION FORECASTING WITH TWO-SCALE FRACTAL POPULATION DYNAMICS AND ITS APPLICATION TO POPULATION ECONOMICS\",\"authors\":\"YARONG ZHANG, NAVEED ANJUM, DAN TIAN, ABDULRAHMAN ALI ALSOLAMI\",\"doi\":\"10.1142/s0218348x24500828\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>One of the major challenges in population economics is accurately predicting population size. Incorrect predictions can lead to ineffective population control policies. Traditional differential models assume a smooth change in population, but this assumption is invalid when measuring population on a small-time scale. To address this change, we developed two-scale fractal population dynamics that can accurately predict population size with minimal experimental data. The Taylor series method is used to reveal the population’s dynamical properties, and the Padé technology is adopted to accelerate the convergence rate.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":501262,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Fractals\",\"volume\":\"27 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-05-23\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Fractals\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218348x24500828\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Fractals","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218348x24500828","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
FAST AND ACCURATE POPULATION FORECASTING WITH TWO-SCALE FRACTAL POPULATION DYNAMICS AND ITS APPLICATION TO POPULATION ECONOMICS
One of the major challenges in population economics is accurately predicting population size. Incorrect predictions can lead to ineffective population control policies. Traditional differential models assume a smooth change in population, but this assumption is invalid when measuring population on a small-time scale. To address this change, we developed two-scale fractal population dynamics that can accurately predict population size with minimal experimental data. The Taylor series method is used to reveal the population’s dynamical properties, and the Padé technology is adopted to accelerate the convergence rate.