中国应急管理人才需求预测:实证研究

IF 2.6 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT
Rongrong Guo, Zhuo Chen, Haiyang Liu, Zhen Dang, Jian Li, Tuo Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

应急管理承担着防范化解安全风险、及时应对灾害事故的重要职责。同时,也肩负着保护人民生命财产安全、维护社会稳定的重要使命。然而,对人才的巨大缺口和需求预测研究甚少。为加强应急管理能力和现代化建设,提高应急管理人才培养能力,解决现阶段应急管理人才短缺问题,本文对我国应急管理人才的定位和各类应急管理人才的需求进行了研究。本研究通过实地访谈、问卷调查、参与式研究和专家会议等方式,分析了我国应急管理人才的特点,明确了其分类,预测了其需求。结果表明,我国应急管理人才可分为四类:行政管理人才、实用人才、专家人才和辅助人才。根据广东省(经济相对发达地区)、北京市(行政中心和经济发达地区)、四川省(自然灾害多发地区)、山西省(煤炭等能源工业发达地区)和江苏省(工业发达地区)五个代表性省份的数据测算结果,得出现阶段我国应急管理人才需求总量约为 79.49 万人,缺口约为 41.12 万人。目前,我国应急管理人才供不应求。本文的研究成果可以为应急管理人才的培养提供充分的数据支持。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Demand forecast of emergency management talents in China: An empirical study

Emergency management bears the important responsibility of preventing and resolving security risks and responding to disasters and accidents in time. At the same time, it shoulders the important mission of protecting people's lives and property and maintaining social stability. However, there is little research on the forecast of the huge gap and demand for talent. To strengthen the emergency management ability and modernization, improve the ability of emergency management personnel training and solve the shortage of emergency management personnel at this stage, this paper studied the positioning of emergency management personnel in China and the demand for various emergency management personnel. By means of field interviews, questionnaire surveys, participatory research and expert meetings, this research analyzed the characteristics of emergency management talents in China, defined its classification and forecasted its demand. The results showed that emergency management talents in China could be divided into four categories: administrative management talents, practical talents, expert talents and support talents. According to the data calculation results of five representative provinces, Guangdong Province (area with relatively developed economy), Beijing (administrative centre and economically developed area), Sichuan Province (natural disaster-prone area), Shanxi Province (developed area of energy industry such as coal) and Jiangsu Province (industrially developed areas), it is concluded that the total demand for emergency management talents in China at this stage is about 794,900, and the gap is about 411,200. At present, China's emergency management talents are in short supply. The research results of this paper can provide sufficient data support for the training of emergency management talents.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
12.90%
发文量
51
期刊介绍: The Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management is an invaluable source of information on all aspects of contingency planning, scenario analysis and crisis management in both corporate and public sectors. It focuses on the opportunities and threats facing organizations and presents analysis and case studies of crisis prevention, crisis planning, recovery and turnaround management. With contributions from world-wide sources including corporations, governmental agencies, think tanks and influential academics, this publication provides a vital platform for the exchange of strategic and operational experience, information and knowledge.
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