应对危机局势的发展政策的相关性:世界银行对 Covid-19 的早期响应

IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
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引用次数: 0

摘要

评估发展政策的相关性是一项复杂的任务,因为必须考虑许多不同的方面。本研究通过关注相关性的一个特定的、可量化的方面,提出了一种新的方法来生成数据驱动的证据,既可用于事后评估国际发展政策的相关性,也可用于指导有关未来战略重点的决策。为此,相关性被定义为:(i) 根据可衡量的指标(代用指标),所提供支持的类型和范围与(ii) 特定情况下最需要支持的类型和范围之间的匹配程度。后者是通过多维脆弱性评分来实现的,该评分是根据一套通常被认为可代表易受冲击影响程度的经验指标来构建的。将脆弱性评分与具体部门的支助分配进行比较,可得出两个相关性的经验衡量标准,一个是国家层面的衡量标准,另一个是每个国家内部门层面的衡量标准。然后将所提出的方法用于评估世界银行集团在 133 个国家中对 Covid-19 的早期应对措施的相关性。与此同时,许多建模见解具有更广泛的适用性,在本文所考虑的具体应用之外,也可为发展政策的评估提供参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The relevance of development policies to confront crisis situations: World Bank’s early response to Covid-19

Evaluating the relevance of development policies is a complex task as many different dimensions must be considered. By focusing on one particular, quantifiable aspect of relevance, this study proposes a new method for generating data-driven evidence that can be used both for assessing the relevance of international development policies ex post, and for guiding decisions about future strategic priorities. For this purpose, relevance is defined as the match between (i) the types and scopes of support provided and (ii) the types and scopes of support most needed in a given context, according to measurable indicators (proxies). The latter is operationalized using a multidimensional vulnerability score constructed based on a set of empirical indicators commonly argued to proxy vulnerability to shocks. Comparing the vulnerability score with the sector-specific allocation of support yields two empirical measures of relevance, one at the country level and one at the sector level within each country. The proposed method is then applied to evaluate the relevance of the World Bank Group’s early response to Covid-19 across 133 countries. At the same time, many of the modeling insights are more broadly applicable and may also be useful in informing evaluations of development policies beyond the specific application considered here.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.20
自引率
11.40%
发文量
76
期刊介绍: The Journal of Policy Modeling is published by Elsevier for the Society for Policy Modeling to provide a forum for analysis and debate concerning international policy issues. The journal addresses questions of critical import to the world community as a whole, and it focuses upon the economic, social, and political interdependencies between national and regional systems. This implies concern with international policies for the promotion of a better life for all human beings and, therefore, concentrates on improved methodological underpinnings for dealing with these problems.
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