评估关税变化影响的重力工具：亚美尼亚的应用

IF 1 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES

Asian Development Review Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI:10.1142/s0116110524500057

Arevik GNUTZMANN-MKRTCHYAN, Jules Hugot

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文使用两种经验工具来量化关税变化对双边贸易和福利的影响。这两种工具都源于结构引力文献。第一种工具是在局部均衡框架下估算关税变化对 5,020 种产品双边贸易的影响。第二种工具在一般均衡设置中量化对双边总贸易的影响，从而估算贸易转移和福利变化。这些工具用于估算关税变化在以下方面对亚美尼亚的影响：(i) 与欧亚经济联盟的对外关税保持一致；(ii) 欧亚经济联盟与其他经济体（包括伊朗和中华人民共和国）之间的自由贸易协定；(iii) 亚美尼亚失去欧洲联盟普遍优惠计划的受益国地位。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Gravity-Based Tools to Assess the Impact of Tariff Changes: An Application to Armenia

This paper uses two empirical tools to quantify the impact of tariff changes on bilateral trade and welfare. Both tools are rooted in structural gravity literature. The first tool estimates the impact of tariff changes on bilateral trade for 5,020 products in a partial equilibrium framework. The second tool quantifies the impact on bilateral aggregate trade in a general equilibrium setup, allowing estimates of trade diversion and welfare changes. These tools are used to estimate the impact of tariff changes on Armenia with regard to (i) its alignment with the external tariff of the Eurasian Economic Union; (ii) free trade agreements between the Eurasian Economic Union and other economies, including Iran and the People’s Republic of China; and (iii) Armenia’s loss of beneficiary status under the Generalised Scheme of Preferences of the European Union.

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来源期刊

Asian Development Review Social Sciences-Development

CiteScore

2.30

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

53 weeks

期刊介绍： The Asian Development Review is a professional journal for disseminating the results of economic and development research carried out by staff and resource persons of the Asian Development Bank (ADB). The Review stresses policy and operational relevance of development issues rather than the technical aspects of economics and other social sciences. Articles are refereed and intended for readership among economists and social scientists in government, private sector, academia, and international organizations.