中央银行会对房价走势做出反应吗?贝叶斯 DSGE 方法

IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Longcan Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本论文通过采用包含住房因素的新凯恩斯主义模型,并使用贝叶斯估算技术进行估算,探讨货币政策是否会对房价变动做出反应。本研究的主要重点是美国,同时对几个发达经济体的中央银行进行了补充分析。本论文的主要研究结果表明,美联储对房价做出了实质性但偶发性的反应。此外,我的调查还表明,澳大利亚储备银行、新西兰储备银行、英格兰银行和欧洲中央银行没有将房价纳入其政策框架,而加拿大银行则是偶尔纳入。在一系列敏感性检查中,基线结果依然稳健。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Do central banks respond to house price movements? A Bayesian DSGE approach

Do central banks respond to house price movements? A Bayesian DSGE approach

This thesis explores whether monetary policy reacts to house price movements, by employing a New Keynesian model with a housing factor and estimated using Bayesian estimation techniques. The primary emphasis of this study is on the United States, with supplementary analyses on central banks in several advanced economies. The principal finding of this thesis reveals that the Federal Reserve responded substantially but episodically to house prices. Furthermore, my investigation indicates that the Reserve Bank of Australia, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Bank of England, and the European Central Bank did not incorporate house prices into their policy framework, whereas the Bank of Canada did so episodically. The baseline results remain robust across a range of sensitivity checks.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
5.30%
发文量
36
期刊介绍: Australian Economic Papers publishes innovative and thought provoking contributions that extend the frontiers of the subject, written by leading international economists in theoretical, empirical and policy economics. Australian Economic Papers is a forum for debate between theorists, econometricians and policy analysts and covers an exceptionally wide range of topics on all the major fields of economics as well as: theoretical and empirical industrial organisation, theoretical and empirical labour economics and, macro and micro policy analysis.
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