苏哈格大学医院新发现的 II 型糖尿病患者的风险因素

A. Ahmed, Amr Adam, Adel Elsayed, A. Altaher
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摘要

:导言:2 型糖尿病(T2D)会大大增加出现重大并发症的风险。据预测,到 2030 年,埃及的 2D 型糖尿病患病率将急剧上升。目的:评估埃及人患 T2D 的风险因素,并尝试设计更方便的埃及 T2D 易感性风险评分。患者和方法:这项研究在 Sohag 大学医院进行,包括 377 名参与者,分为两组:研究组包括 161 名新发现的糖尿病患者和健康组 216 人。结果:某些年龄组、女性、类固醇摄入、碳水化合物或脂肪饮食、久坐不动、高血压、T2D 家族史、HCV、BMI > 25、男性腰围≥ 90 厘米和女性腰围≥ 85 厘米是新发现糖尿病风险因素单变量和多变量回归分析的独立预测因素。得分≥13 分表示糖尿病风险较高。ROC)曲线说明了风险评分在所研究人群中预测 DM 的效果((AUC) = 0.82, 95% CI 0.78:0.86),分界值 >13 的灵敏度为 70%,特异度为 85%。结论:本研究专门为埃及人设计了一个更方便的糖尿病风险评分模型。分值 > 13 表示罹患糖尿病的风险较高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk Factors of Recently Discovered Type II Diabetic Patients at Sohag University Hospitals
: Introduction: The risk of major complications is greatly increased by type 2 diabetes (T2D). By 2030, it is predicted that prevalence of type 2D will be dramatically increase in Egypt. Aim: is to assess the risk factors for T2D in Egyptian populations and try to design a more convenient Egyptian risk score for susceptibility to T2D. Patients & Methods : This study was conducted at Sohag University Hospital including 377 participants divided into 2 groups; study group included 161 recently discovered diabetics & healthy group 216 person. Results : Certain age groups, females, steroid intake, carbohydrate or fat diets, sedentary life, hypertension, family history of T2D, HCV, BMI > 25, those with waist circumference for males ≥ 90cm & for females ≥ 85cm were independent predictors for Univariate and Multivariate regression analysis of risk factors for newely discovered DM. A score of ≥13 points indicated a high risk for DM. The (ROC) curve illustrating how well the risk score predicted DM in the population studied ((AUC) = 0.82, 95% CI 0.78:0.86) and cutoff value >13 has a sensitivity of 70% and specificity of 85%. Conclusion : In the current study, a more convenient DM risk scoring model is designed specifically and appropriately for Egyptians. A score > 13 indicates a high risk for DM.
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