拉丁美洲创造就业和去碳化的协同作用:基于模拟的探索性建模分析

IF 3.3 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Fernando Esteves, E. Molina-Pérez, Nidhi Kalra, James Syme, Adrien Vogt-Schilb
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究采用投入产出模拟模型,对拉丁美洲和加勒比地区 40 个具体部门的去碳化转型投资所产生的潜在就业效应进行评估。利用多地区投入产出框架(Eora26),我们的研究结果表明,对能源生产和建筑部门的投资有望创造就业机会,平均每投资 100 万美元可创造 5.5 个就业岗位。同样,在废物处理、工业和农业、林业及土地使用部门也显示出巨大潜力,每 100 万美元可创造约 5 个就业岗位。该分析将投资作为需求矢量进行建模,得出了该地区 17 个国家的结果。这些估算内生了这些国家不同的经济结构和发展状况。我们认为,需要进行国家层面的分析,以确定既能最大限度地创造就业机会,又能实现净零排放的气候战略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Job creation and decarbonization synergies in Latin America: a simulation-based exploratory modeling analysis
This study employs an Input–Output simulation model to assess the potential employment effects resulting from investments in 40 sector-specific decarbonization transformations across Latin America and the Caribbean. Using a Multi-region Input–Output framework (Eora26), our findings indicate that investments in energy production and buildings sectors offer promising job creation opportunities, averaging 5.5 total jobs per $1 million invested. Similarly, in the waste, industry and agriculture, forestry, and land use sectors demonstrate significant potential, yielding approximately 5 total jobs per $1 million. The analysis models investments as demand vectors, producing results for 17 countries in the region. These estimates endogenize the diverse economic structure and state of development of these countries. We argue that country-level analysis is needed to identify climate strategies that maximize job creation while achieving net-zero emissions.
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来源期刊
Frontiers in Climate
Frontiers in Climate Environmental Science-Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
4.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
233
审稿时长
15 weeks
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