{"title":"需求预测能帮助供应链吗?啤酒分销游戏的证据","authors":"Nengah Widiangga Gautama, Andi Harmoko Arifin","doi":"10.57096/return.v3i4.221","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"One of complex process known nowadays which involves production, delivery and services to consumers is supply chain. Supply chain often can be simplified and analyzed with simulations like Beer Distribution Game. In this research, we use an extended version of Beer Distribution Game, built by AnyLogic, and equipped with additional feature such as information sharing. This research uses a simulation experiment method, and from the experiment’s result we draw a conclusion based on the effect of SMA forecasting. It is shown that by adding SMA forecasting only at the Retailer unit, does not conclusively reduce the BDG’s Total Cost","PeriodicalId":402323,"journal":{"name":"Return : Study of Management, Economic and Bussines","volume":"5 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Can Demand Forecasting Help Supply Chain? Evidence from Beer Distribution Game\",\"authors\":\"Nengah Widiangga Gautama, Andi Harmoko Arifin\",\"doi\":\"10.57096/return.v3i4.221\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"One of complex process known nowadays which involves production, delivery and services to consumers is supply chain. Supply chain often can be simplified and analyzed with simulations like Beer Distribution Game. In this research, we use an extended version of Beer Distribution Game, built by AnyLogic, and equipped with additional feature such as information sharing. This research uses a simulation experiment method, and from the experiment’s result we draw a conclusion based on the effect of SMA forecasting. It is shown that by adding SMA forecasting only at the Retailer unit, does not conclusively reduce the BDG’s Total Cost\",\"PeriodicalId\":402323,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Return : Study of Management, Economic and Bussines\",\"volume\":\"5 7\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-05-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Return : Study of Management, Economic and Bussines\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.57096/return.v3i4.221\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Return : Study of Management, Economic and Bussines","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.57096/return.v3i4.221","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
供应链是当今已知的复杂流程之一,涉及生产、交付和为消费者提供服务。供应链通常可以通过啤酒配送游戏等模拟游戏进行简化和分析。在本研究中,我们使用了由 AnyLogic 公司开发的啤酒配送游戏的扩展版本,并为其配备了信息共享等附加功能。本研究采用了模拟实验方法,并从实验结果中得出了基于 SMA 预测效果的结论。实验结果表明,仅在零售商单元添加 SMA 预测并不能最终降低 BDG 的总成本。
Can Demand Forecasting Help Supply Chain? Evidence from Beer Distribution Game
One of complex process known nowadays which involves production, delivery and services to consumers is supply chain. Supply chain often can be simplified and analyzed with simulations like Beer Distribution Game. In this research, we use an extended version of Beer Distribution Game, built by AnyLogic, and equipped with additional feature such as information sharing. This research uses a simulation experiment method, and from the experiment’s result we draw a conclusion based on the effect of SMA forecasting. It is shown that by adding SMA forecasting only at the Retailer unit, does not conclusively reduce the BDG’s Total Cost