A novel immune cell signature for predicting glioblastoma after radiotherapy prognosis and guiding therapy

Background: Glioblastoma, a highly aggressive brain tumor, poses a significant clinical challenge, particularly in the context of radiotherapy. In this study, we aimed to explore infiltrating immune cells and identify immune-related genes associated with glioblastoma radiotherapy prognosis. Subsequently, we constructed a signature based on these genes to discern differences in molecular and tumor microenvironment immune characteristics, ultimately informing potential therapeutic strategies for patients with varying risk profiles. Methods: We leveraged UCSC Xena and CGGA gene expression profiles from post-radiotherapy glioblastoma as verification cohorts. Infiltration ratios were stratified into high and low groups based on the median value. Differential gene expression was determined through Limma differential analysis. A signature comprising four genes was constructed, guided by Gene Ontology (GO) functional enrichment results and Kaplan–Meier survival analysis. We evaluated differences in cell infiltration levels, Immune Score, Stromal Score, and ESTIMATE Score and their Pearson correlations with the signature. Spearman’s correlation was computed between the signature and patient drug sensitivity (IC50), predicted using Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer (GDSC) and CCLE databases. Results: Notably, the infiltration of central memory CD8+T cells exhibited a significant correlation with glioblastoma radiotherapy prognosis. Samples were dichotomized into high- and low-risk groups based on the optimal signature threshold (2.466642). Kaplan–Meier (K-M) survival analysis revealed that the high-risk group experienced a significantly poorer prognosis ( p = .0068), with AUC values exceeding 0.82 at 1, 3, and 5 years, underscoring the robust predictive potential of the signature scoring system. Independent validation sets substantiated the validity of the signature. Statistically significant differences in tumor microenvironments (p < .05) were observed between high- and low-risk groups, and these differences were significantly correlated with the signature ( p < .05). Furthermore, there were significant correlations between high and low-risk groups regarding immune checkpoint expressions, Immune Prognostic Score (IPS), and Tumor Immune Dysfunction and Exclusion (TIDE) scores. Conclusion: The immune cell signature, comprising SDC-1, PLAUR, FN1, and CXCL13, holds promise as a predictive tool for assessing glioblastoma prognosis following radiotherapy. This signature also offers valuable guidance for tailoring treatment strategies, emphasizing its potential clinical relevance in improving patient outcomes.