评估核能是否适合减缓气候变化:技术风险、经济影响以及与可再生能源系统的不兼容性

Fabian Präger, Christian Breyer, H. Fell, Christian von Hirschhausen, C. Kemfert, Björn Steigerwald, T. Traber, Ben Wealer
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文全面分析了核电是否适合作为应对不断升级的气候紧急情况的一种选择。通过总结和评估关键论点,我们阐明了核电不适合应对气候变化的原因。主要论点集中在尚未解决的事故和扩散的技术和人为风险,这些风险在未来不可能得到有效缓解。此外,考虑到电力的平准化成本,我们强调了核电与其他非化石能源(如太阳能光伏发电和风力发电)在成本上的巨大差异。我们还讨论了核电与可再生能源系统不兼容的问题,强调在面对多变的太阳能和风能资源时需要有灵活性。替代反应堆技术还来不及做出重大贡献。在气候变化和战争情况下,核电也会给发电厂的运营带来挑战。最终,我们认为应探讨其他动机,以解释一些国家对核电的持续兴趣,因为仅以能源供应为理由不足以证明新投资的合理性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evaluating nuclear power's suitability for climate change mitigation: technical risks, economic implications and incompatibility with renewable energy systems
This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of the suitability of nuclear power as an option to combat the escalating climate emergency. Summarizing and evaluating key arguments, we elucidate why nuclear power is unsuitable for addressing climate change. The primary argument centers around the unresolved technical and human risks of accidents and proliferation, which are unlikely to be effectively mitigated in the future. Furthermore, we highlight the significant cost disparities between nuclear power and other non-fossil energy sources, such as solar photovoltaics and wind power, considering levelized costs of electricity. We also address the incompatibility of nuclear power with renewable energy systems, emphasizing the need for flexibility in the face of variable solar and wind resources. Alternative reactor technologies will not be available in time to make a major contribution. Nuclear power also poses challenges in power plant operation amid climate change and war. Ultimately, we argue that other motivations should be explored to explain the continued interest in nuclear power in some countries, as energy supply arguments alone are insufficient to justify new investments.
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