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引用次数: 0
摘要
国家间国际贸易的目标是促进经济扩张。根据贸易差额的结果,可以考察一个国家在国际贸易中的表现指标。经济增长率可以从多个角度进行评估,其中包括影响国家贸易平衡的进出口额,它可以用来描述一个国家的成功程度。本研究的目的是确定 GDP、出口、进口、汇率和 GDP 对四个新兴市场国家贸易平衡的短期和长期影响。本研究采用 ARDL 面板法从世界银行收集 2012 年至 2022 年的数据。因此,其中既有长期关系,也有短期关系。从长期来看,贸易平衡主要受出口、国内生产总值和汇率的影响。同时,出口对贸易平衡有直接影响。
ANALISIS EKSPOR, IMPOR TERHADAP NERACA PERDAGANGAN DI EMPAT NEGARA EMERGING MARKET (RITI)
The goal of international trade between nations is to promote economic expansion. Based on the trade balance's findings, indicators of a nation's performance in international trade can be examined. The rate of economic growth, which can be evaluated from a number of angles, including the value of imports and exports, which affect a nation's trade balance, can be used to characterize a country's degree of success. The purpose of this study is to ascertain the short- and long-term effects of GDP, exports, imports, exchange rates, and GDP on the trade balance in four emerging market nations. The ARDL Panel Method was used to collect data from the World Bank between 2012 and 2022 for this study. There are therefore both long-term and short-term relationships. Over an extended period, the trade balance is largely influenced by exports, GDP, and exchange rates. Exports, meanwhile, have an immediate impact on the trade balance.